Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 February

Real Madrid

W W W W D

1st place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

04/02/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on 04 February 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid are currently 1st with 95 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-02-04

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2024-02-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA SUC

24/09/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

26/01/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

18/09/2022 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Real Madrid

17%

Draw

67%

Atletico Madrid

17%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

27/01/2024 11:15

Las Palmas 1 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

21/01/2024 11:15

Real Madrid 3 - 2 Almeria SPA D1

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Madrid SPA CUP

14/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona SPA SUC

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA SUC

06/01/2024 16:30

Arandina 1 - 3 Real Madrid SPA CUP

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

25/01/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla SPA CUP

22/01/2024 16:00

Granada CF 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Madrid SPA CUP

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA SUC

06/01/2024 11:00

CD Lugo 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

03/01/2024 16:30

Girona 4 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

17 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

18 (95%)1 (5%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(37%)7 12(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

18.00 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 4.39

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

14.05 avg / game

Blocked

56 total

Avg. 3.11

Real Madrid Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

12189

Avg. 642 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

9413

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.63

Clean sheets

0.26

6.05

115

Corners

4.21

18.00

342

Throw-ins

329

17.32

2.42

Offsides

3.74

2.05

GK saves

2.74

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

2.05

0.00

0.16

8.84

168

Fouls

216

11.37

14.00

266

Tackles

310

16.32

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on 04 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less