Real Madrid vs Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 April

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Alaves on 21 April 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Alaves preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid vs Alaves: Starting Lineups Time : 21/04/2026 15:30

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Finished
Alaves
63' event Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
63' event Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
58' event Franco Mastantuono / Arda Guler
58' event Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham
50' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
45+1' event Antonio Rudiger / Eder Gabriel Militao
35' event Aurelien Tchouameni
30' event Kylian Mbappe
event 90+2' Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 90' Angel Perez
event 75' Ander Guevara Lajo / Antonio Blanco
event 66' Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva / Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
event 66' Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
event 58' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Denis Suarez Fernandez
event 58' Carles Alena Castillo / Jon Guridi
63' event Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
event 90+2' Antonio Martinez Lopez
63' event Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
event 90' Angel Perez
58' event Franco Mastantuono / Arda Guler
event 75' Ander Guevara Lajo / Antonio Blanco
58' event Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham
event 66' Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva / Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
50' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 66' Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
45+1' event Antonio Rudiger / Eder Gabriel Militao
event 58' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Denis Suarez Fernandez
35' event Aurelien Tchouameni
event 58' Carles Alena Castillo / Jon Guridi
30' event Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#30 Franco Mastantuono
#6 Eduardo Camavinga
#22 Antonio Rudiger
#21 Brahim Diaz
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#4 David Alaba
#23 Ferland Mendy
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#16 Gonzalo Garcia Torres
#20 Fran Garcia
#43 Sergio Mestre
#45 Thiago Pitarch Pinar
Real Madrid Real Madrid Alaves Alaves
24Shots19
8Shots on Goal5
14Fouls12
9Corner Kick6
12Free kick14
4Offside1
1Yellow card1
25Aerial25
4Save5
9Successful Tackles20
5Interceptions5
48Long pass19
2Assist1
5Successful center4
5Substitution5
9Shots off goal7
1Hit The Post2
17Head Success8
7Blocked7
8Tackle11
18Dribbles1
12Throw-in17
631Passes390
148Attacks76
68Dangerous attacks47
5Corner Kicks(HT)2
0BigChances2
0BigChancesMissed1
12ShotsInsideBox13
12ShotsOutsideBox6
63DuelsWon40
1.63ExpectedGoals2
1.02xGOpenPlay1.42
1.63xGNonPenalty2
0.96xGOT1.44
45Touches In Opposition Box32
14AccurateCrosses19
46GroundDuelsWon32
17AerialDuelsWon8
31Clearances32
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#20 Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
#6 Ander Guevara Lajo
#10 Carles Alena Castillo
#19 Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
#22 Ibrahim Diabate
#16 Ville Koski
#31 Gregoire Swiderski
#5 Jon Pacheco
#9 Mariano Diaz Mejia
#13 Raul Fernandez Mateos
#27 Egoitz Munoz
#34 Aitor Manas
Commentary
90+2' Goal! Antonio Martinez Lopez - Alaves
90' Angel Perez - Alaves receive a yellow card
75' Alaves — substitution: Ander Guevara Lajo / Antonio Blanco
66' Alaves — substitution: Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva / Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
66' Alaves — substitution: Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
63' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
63' Real Madrid — substitution: Eduardo Camavinga / Aurelien Tchouameni
58' Real Madrid — substitution: Franco Mastantuono / Arda Guler
58' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham
58' Alaves — substitution: Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Denis Suarez Fernandez
58' Alaves — substitution: Carles Alena Castillo / Jon Guridi
50' Goal! Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid
45+1' Real Madrid — substitution: Antonio Rudiger / Eder Gabriel Militao
35' Aurelien Tchouameni - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
30' Goal! Kylian Mbappe - Real Madrid

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Alaves on 21 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Alaves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alaves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Alaves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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