Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 January

Real Madrid Castilla

D W W L D

5th place in Group A

1-1

18/01/2026 13:15

Merida AD

W L L L D

10th place in Group A

Spain Primera Division RFEF

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD on 18 January 2026 (kick-off: 13:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid Castilla will face Merida AD in Spain Primera Division RFEF on January 18, 2026 at 13:15.
Real Madrid Castilla are currently 5th with 58 points after 38 matches.
Merida AD sit 10th with 52 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.79.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:15

2026-01-18

Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid Castilla

Merida AD

2026-01-18 13:15

STANDINGS UP TO 18/01/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tenerife	76	38	22	10	6	62	24	38
02 Celta vigo b	65	38	18	11	9	61	48	13
03 Zamora CF	61	38	17	10	11	53	42	11
04 Ponferradina	60	38	17	9	12	43	33	10
05 Real Madrid Castilla	58	38	16	10	12	61	52	9
06 Pontevedra	58	38	14	16	8	49	31	18
07 Barakaldo CF	58	38	15	13	10	51	38	13
08 Unionistas de Salamanca	56	38	15	11	12	53	49	4
09 CD Lugo	53	38	13	14	11	36	40	-4
10 Merida AD	52	38	14	10	14	47	53	-6
11 Arenas Club de Getxo	52	38	15	7	16	46	55	-9
12 Racing de Ferrol	49	38	13	10	15	41	47	-6
13 Athletic Bilbao B	49	38	13	10	15	38	46	-8
14 Real Aviles	44	38	11	11	16	55	67	-12
15 Cacereno	44	38	10	14	14	42	49	-7
16 CF Talavera de la Reina	43	38	11	10	17	38	47	-9
17 Ourense CF	43	38	10	13	15	44	47	-3
18 CD Guadalajara	41	38	10	11	17	44	58	-14
19 Osasuna B	40	38	10	10	18	28	42	-14
20 CD Arenteiro	28	38	6	10	22	29	53	-24

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Eldense	69	38	19	12	7	57	39	18
02 Sabadell	68	38	18	14	6	53	27	26
03 Atletico de Madrid B	67	38	19	10	9	64	44	20
04 Villarreal B	63	38	16	15	7	54	32	22
05 CE Europa	60	38	16	12	10	55	50	5
06 FC Cartagena	57	38	15	12	11	37	38	-1
07 Antequera CF	56	38	16	8	14	47	44	3
08 Algeciras	55	38	15	10	13	40	41	-1
09 Hercules	54	38	14	12	12	43	41	2
10 Real Murcia	52	38	14	10	14	43	40	3
11 AD Alcorcon	51	38	12	15	11	44	38	6
12 Ibiza Eivissa	50	38	13	11	14	44	38	6
13 Teruel	49	38	12	13	13	27	33	-6
14 Gimnastic Tarragona	47	38	13	8	17	40	49	-9
15 Juventud Torremolinos CF	46	38	11	13	14	45	51	-6
16 Real Betis B	45	38	12	9	17	48	59	-11
17 SD Tarazona	45	38	11	12	15	31	40	-9
18 UD Marbella	34	38	9	7	22	36	55	-19
19 Atletico Sanluqueno	31	38	7	10	21	27	53	-26
20 Sevilla Atletico	28	38	5	13	20	21	44	-23

Head To Head

09/11/2025 07:00

Merida AD

3 - 0

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

10/05/2025 10:00

Merida AD

0 - 0

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

30/11/2024 16:30

Real Madrid Castilla

6 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

11/02/2024 15:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 1

Merida AD

SPA D3

23/09/2023 11:59

Merida AD

0 - 1

Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

19/03/2023 07:00

Real Madrid Castilla

0 - 0

Merida AD

SPA D3

Merida AD

33%

Draw

33%

Real Madrid Castilla

33%

Real Madrid Castilla Last 6 matches

10/01/2026 11:15

Arenas Club de Getxo 4 - 1 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

04/01/2026 07:00

Real Madrid Castilla 2 - 0 CD Arenteiro

SPA D3

20/12/2025 11:15

Celta vigo b 1 - 0 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

13/12/2025 09:00

Real Madrid Castilla 3 - 1 CD Guadalajara

SPA D3

07/12/2025 11:00

Zamora CF 2 - 2 Real Madrid Castilla

SPA D3

29/11/2025 09:00

Real Madrid Castilla 2 - 1 Barakaldo CF

SPA D3

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Merida AD

11/01/2026 07:00

Merida AD 1 - 0 Osasuna B

SPA D3

03/01/2026 07:00

CD Lugo 1 - 0 Merida AD

SPA D3

19/12/2025 16:15

Merida AD 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao B

SPA D3

14/12/2025 07:00

CF Talavera de la Reina 2 - 1 Merida AD

SPA D3

07/12/2025 07:00

Merida AD 3 - 2 Ourense CF

SPA D3

29/11/2025 16:00

Racing de Ferrol 2 - 2 Merida AD

SPA D3

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spain Primera Division...

Played games

Real Madrid Castilla

Merida AD

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

31 (78%)9 (23%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

29 (76%)9 (24%)

Real Madrid Castilla

Recent matches

Merida AD

Under /Over

(78%)31 9(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

/Yes

(55%)22 18(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid Castilla

Merida AD

Shots

Real Madrid Castilla

Total shots

11.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merida AD

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Real Madrid Castilla Pass Merida AD

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid Castilla

Played games

Merida AD

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.26

5.33

213

Corners

163

4.29

0.55

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.20

GK saves

0.13

Real Madrid Castilla

DISCIPLINARY

Merida AD

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.48

118

3.11

0.25

0.18

0.30

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Juventud Torremolinos CF

NEXT MATCHES

Deportivo La Coruna B

How We Build the Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD on 18 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spain Primera Division RFEF fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid Castilla vs Merida AD Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid Castilla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Merida AD's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spain Primera Division RFEF Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spain Primera Division RFEF standings and the Spain Primera Division RFEF form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid Castilla and Merida AD sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spain Primera Division RFEF predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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