RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Betiball's prediction for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli: Starting Lineups Time : 09/05/2026 09:30

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Finished
St. Pauli
90+1' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
79' event Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Brajan Gruda
69' event Nicolas Seiwald / Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
69' event Max Finkgrafe / David Raum
54' event Willi Orban
50' event Christoph Baumgartner
45' event Xaver Schlager
19' event Castello Lukeba
event 89' Matias Rasmussen / Eric Smith
event 89' Daniel Sinani / Conor Metcalfe
event 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
event 72' Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
event 64' Hauke Wahl / Lars Ritzka
event 64' Fin Stevens / Louis Oppie
90+1' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
event 89' Matias Rasmussen / Eric Smith
79' event Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Brajan Gruda
event 89' Daniel Sinani / Conor Metcalfe
69' event Nicolas Seiwald / Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
event 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
69' event Max Finkgrafe / David Raum
event 72' Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
54' event Willi Orban
event 64' Hauke Wahl / Lars Ritzka
50' event Christoph Baumgartner
event 64' Fin Stevens / Louis Oppie
45' event Xaver Schlager
19' event Castello Lukeba
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Substitutions
#13 Nicolas Seiwald
#39 Benjamin Henrichs
#35 Max Finkgrafe
#7 Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
#9 Johan Bakayoko
#11 Conrad Harder
#5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu
#16 Lukas Klostermann
#1 Peter Gulacsi
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig St. Pauli St. Pauli
13Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
5Fouls9
3Corner Kick5
9Free kick5
2Offside0
2Yellow card0
1Aerial13
2Save3
10Successful Tackles24
5Interceptions10
25Long pass14
2Assist1
2Successful center3
4Substitution5
6Shots off goal2
1Hit The Post1
8Head Success12
2Blocked2
10Tackle11
11Dribbles5
21Throw-in10
731Passes298
129Attacks47
65Dangerous attacks22
1Corner Kicks(HT)2
3BigChances2
3BigChancesMissed1
8ShotsInsideBox4
5ShotsOutsideBox3
39DuelsWon46
1.41ExpectedGoals0.83
1.15xGOpenPlay0.77
1.41xGNonPenalty0.83
1.68xGOT1.02
31Touches In Opposition Box15
15AccurateCrosses14
32GroundDuelsWon35
7AerialDuelsWon11
15Clearances28
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#5 Hauke Wahl
#10 Daniel Sinani
#20 Matias Rasmussen
#14 Fin Stevens
#18 Taichi Hara
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
Commentary
90+1' RB Leipzig — substitution: Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
89' St. Pauli — substitution: Matias Rasmussen / Eric Smith
89' St. Pauli — substitution: Daniel Sinani / Conor Metcalfe
86' Goal! Abdoulie Ceesay - St. Pauli
79' RB Leipzig — substitution: Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Brajan Gruda
72' St. Pauli — substitution: Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
69' RB Leipzig — substitution: Nicolas Seiwald / Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
69' RB Leipzig — substitution: Max Finkgrafe / David Raum
64' St. Pauli — substitution: Hauke Wahl / Lars Ritzka
64' St. Pauli — substitution: Fin Stevens / Louis Oppie
54' Goal! Willi Orban - RB Leipzig
50' Christoph Baumgartner - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card
45' Goal! Xaver Schlager - RB Leipzig
19' Castello Lukeba - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card

How We Build the RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess RB Leipzig's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where RB Leipzig and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less