RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 31 January

Betiball's prediction for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 on 31 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 31/01/2026 10:30

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
86' event Johan Bakayoko / Nicolas Seiwald
72' event Tidiam Gomis / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
59' event Ezechiel Banzuzi / El Chadaille Bitshiabu
59' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
40' event Conrad Harder
event 90+3' Kacper Potulski
event 82' Phillipp Mwene / Silvan Widmer
event 82' Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
event 82' Paul Nebel / Silas Wamangituka Fundu
event 72' Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
event 49' Silas Wamangituka Fundu
event 45+5' Nadiem Amiri
event 45+3' Stefan Posch
event 38' Stefan Bell
event 14' Silas Wamangituka Fundu / Benedict Hollerbach
86' event Johan Bakayoko / Nicolas Seiwald
event 90+3' Kacper Potulski
72' event Tidiam Gomis / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
event 82' Phillipp Mwene / Silvan Widmer
59' event Ezechiel Banzuzi / El Chadaille Bitshiabu
event 82' Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
59' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
event 82' Paul Nebel / Silas Wamangituka Fundu
40' event Conrad Harder
event 72' Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
event 49' Silas Wamangituka Fundu
event 45+5' Nadiem Amiri
event 45+3' Stefan Posch
event 38' Stefan Bell
event 14' Silas Wamangituka Fundu / Benedict Hollerbach
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Substitutions
#9 Johan Bakayoko
#27 Tidiam Gomis
#39 Benjamin Henrichs
#6 Ezechiel Banzuzi
#26 Maarten Vandevoordt
#35 Max Finkgrafe
#16 Lukas Klostermann
#19 Kosta Nedeljkovic
#33 Andrija Maksimovic
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
15Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
4Fouls13
5Corner Kick4
13Free kick3
2Offside2
0Yellow card3
1Aerial13
2Save3
8Successful Tackles13
7Interceptions17
25Long pass21
1Assist0
4Successful center5
4Substitution5
6Shots off goal5
1Hit The Post0
25Head Success18
5Blocked2
8Tackle12
9Dribbles7
23Throw-in18
697Passes302
152Attacks101
74Dangerous attacks35
1Corner Kicks(HT)1
3BigChances4
2BigChancesMissed2
14ShotsInsideBox8
1ShotsOutsideBox3
59DuelsWon58
1.43ExpectedGoals2.33
1.26xGOpenPlay1.5
1.43xGNonPenalty1.54
1.45xGOT2.13
45Touches In Opposition Box24
27AccurateCrosses13
33GroundDuelsWon39
26AerialDuelsWon19
24Clearances44
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#2 Phillipp Mwene
#26 Silas Wamangituka Fundu
#8 Paul Nebel
#44 Nelson Weiper
#15 Lennard Maloney
#14 William Boving Vick
#9 Arnaud Nordin
#42 Daniel Gleiber
#1 Lasse RieB
Commentary
90+3' Kacper Potulski - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
86' RB Leipzig — substitution: Johan Bakayoko / Nicolas Seiwald
82' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Phillipp Mwene / Silvan Widmer
82' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Nelson Weiper / Phillip Tietz
82' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Paul Nebel / Silas Wamangituka Fundu
72' RB Leipzig — substitution: Tidiam Gomis / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
72' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri
59' RB Leipzig — substitution: Ezechiel Banzuzi / El Chadaille Bitshiabu
59' RB Leipzig — substitution: Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
49' Goal! Silas Wamangituka Fundu - FSV Mainz 05
45+5' Penalty scored! Nadiem Amiri - FSV Mainz 05
45+3' Stefan Posch - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
40' Goal! Conrad Harder - RB Leipzig
38' Stefan Bell - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
14' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Silas Wamangituka Fundu / Benedict Hollerbach

How We Build the RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 on 31 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess RB Leipzig's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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