RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 31 January

RB Leipzig

W W W L W

3rd place in German Bundesliga

1-2

31/01/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 on 31 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

RB Leipzig are currently 3rd with 65 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 61%.
Head-to-head history favors FSV Mainz 05, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. RB Leipzig have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-01-31

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05

2026-01-31 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 31/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

13/09/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 1

RB Leipzig

GER D1

01/03/2025 10:30

RB Leipzig

1 - 2

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

19/10/2024 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 2

RB Leipzig

GER D1

30/03/2024 10:30

RB Leipzig

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

04/11/2023 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 0

RB Leipzig

GER D1

01/04/2023 09:30

RB Leipzig

0 - 3

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

RB Leipzig

33%

Draw

17%

FSV Mainz 05

50%

RB Leipzig Last 6 matches

17/01/2026 13:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern Munchen GER D1

14/01/2026 15:30

RB Leipzig 2 - 0 SC Freiburg GER D1

20/12/2025 13:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

12/12/2025 15:30

Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

06/12/2025 13:30

RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

02/12/2025 16:00

RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Magdeburg GERC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

17/01/2026 10:30

FC Koln 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

13/01/2026 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Heidenheimer GER D1

10/01/2026 10:30

Union Berlin 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

21/12/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

18/12/2025 16:00

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Samsunspor UEFA ECL

14/12/2025 12:30

Bayern Munchen 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

12 (71%)5 (29%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

8 (47%)9 (53%)

RB Leipzig

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

RB Leipzig

Total shots

17.35 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

13.59 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

RB Leipzig Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

8922

Avg. 525 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

6354

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

RB Leipzig

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.12

5.88

100

Corners

105

6.18

19.76

336

Throw-ins

376

22.12

1.24

Offsides

2.41

2.71

GK saves

2.82

RB Leipzig

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.35

1.71

0.00

0.18

8.12

138

Fouls

202

11.88

9.00

153

Tackles

142

8.35

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

GER

How We Build the RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 on 31 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess RB Leipzig's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More German Bundesliga Predictions

Find every upcoming German Bundesliga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less