RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Betiball's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Starting Lineups Time : 21/02/2026 13:30

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
90+3' event Max Finkgrafe / Yan Diomande
90+1' event David Raum
82' event Ezechiel Banzuzi / Brajan Gruda
82' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
81' event Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
65' event Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Xaver Schlager
41' event Castello Lukeba
39' event Christoph Baumgartner
31' event Brajan Gruda mistakenIdentity.false
31' event Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
20' event Christoph Baumgartner
event 90+4' Fabio Silva
event 78' Fabio Silva
event 76' Karim Adeyemi / Marcel Sabitzer
event 71' Fabio Silva / Sehrou Guirassy
event 69' Julian Ryerson
event 65' Carney Chukwuemeka / Felix Nmecha
event 64' Julian Brandt / Maximilian Beier
event 64' Yan Bueno Couto / Luca Reggiani
event 54' Luca Reggiani
event 50' Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
event 45+1' Ramy Bensebaini
90+3' event Max Finkgrafe / Yan Diomande
event 90+4' Fabio Silva
90+1' event David Raum
event 78' Fabio Silva
82' event Ezechiel Banzuzi / Brajan Gruda
event 76' Karim Adeyemi / Marcel Sabitzer
82' event Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
event 71' Fabio Silva / Sehrou Guirassy
81' event Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
event 69' Julian Ryerson
65' event Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Xaver Schlager
event 65' Carney Chukwuemeka / Felix Nmecha
41' event Castello Lukeba
event 64' Julian Brandt / Maximilian Beier
39' event Christoph Baumgartner
event 64' Yan Bueno Couto / Luca Reggiani
31' event Brajan Gruda mistakenIdentity.false
event 54' Luca Reggiani
31' event Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
event 50' Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
20' event Christoph Baumgartner
event 45+1' Ramy Bensebaini
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Substitutions
#11 Conrad Harder
#39 Benjamin Henrichs
#35 Max Finkgrafe
#6 Ezechiel Banzuzi
#7 Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
#9 Johan Bakayoko
#27 Tidiam Gomis
#5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu
#25 Leopold Zingerle
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
14Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
11Fouls17
6Corner Kick2
17Free kick11
0Offside4
3Yellow card4
42Aerial48
4Save1
7Successful Tackles9
13Interceptions2
24Long pass25
2Assist1
6Successful center6
5Substitution5
7Shots off goal2
21Head Success24
4Blocked4
7Tackle8
5Dribbles4
14Throw-in24
452Passes365
98Attacks92
43Dangerous attacks51
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
5BigChances2
3BigChancesMissed1
13ShotsInsideBox10
1ShotsOutsideBox1
55DuelsWon51
1.81ExpectedGoals1.39
1.57xGOT1.13
39Touches In Opposition Box25
17AccurateCrosses15
34GroundDuelsWon27
21AerialDuelsWon24
35Clearances30
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Substitutions
#2 Yan Bueno Couto
#27 Karim Adeyemi
#10 Julian Brandt
#21 Fabio Silva
#17 Carney Chukwuemeka
#33 Alexander Niklas Meyer
#47 Elias Benkara
#40 Samuele Inacio
#6 Salih Ozcan
Commentary
90+4' Goal! Fabio Silva - Borussia Dortmund
90+3' RB Leipzig — substitution: Max Finkgrafe / Yan Diomande
90+1' David Raum - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card
82' RB Leipzig — substitution: Ezechiel Banzuzi / Brajan Gruda
82' RB Leipzig — substitution: Benjamin Henrichs / Bote Baku
81' RB Leipzig — substitution: Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
78' Fabio Silva - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
76' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Karim Adeyemi / Marcel Sabitzer
71' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Fabio Silva / Sehrou Guirassy
69' Julian Ryerson - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
65' RB Leipzig — substitution: Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa / Xaver Schlager
65' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Carney Chukwuemeka / Felix Nmecha
64' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Julian Brandt / Maximilian Beier
64' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Yan Bueno Couto / Luca Reggiani
54' Luca Reggiani - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
50' Own goal! Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz - Borussia Dortmund
45+1' Ramy Bensebaini - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
41' Castello Lukeba - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card
39' Goal! Christoph Baumgartner - RB Leipzig
31' VAR review - RB Leipzig
31' Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card
20' Goal! Christoph Baumgartner - RB Leipzig

How We Build the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess RB Leipzig's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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