Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal preview before placing your bet.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: Starting Lineups Time : 17/05/2026 13:00

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Finished
Villarreal
82' event Abdul Mumin / Unai Lopez Cabrera
81' event Alfonso Espino / Pep Chavarria
74' event Carlos Martin / Alexandre Zurawski
73' event Fran Perez / Sergio Camello
66' event Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Oscar Guido Trejo
61' event Florian Lejeune
47' event Alexandre Zurawski
28' event Sergio Camello
event 90+5' Santiago Mourino
event 77' Logan Costa / Willy Kambwala
event 72' Daniel Parejo Munoz,Parejo / Pape Alassane Gueye
event 64' Thomas Partey / Santi Comesana
event 63' Gerard Moreno Balaguero / Tani Oluwaseyi
event 46' Alfon Gonzalez / Tajon Buchanan
82' event Abdul Mumin / Unai Lopez Cabrera
event 90+5' Santiago Mourino
81' event Alfonso Espino / Pep Chavarria
event 77' Logan Costa / Willy Kambwala
74' event Carlos Martin / Alexandre Zurawski
event 72' Daniel Parejo Munoz,Parejo / Pape Alassane Gueye
73' event Fran Perez / Sergio Camello
event 64' Thomas Partey / Santi Comesana
66' event Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Oscar Guido Trejo
event 63' Gerard Moreno Balaguero / Tani Oluwaseyi
61' event Florian Lejeune
event 46' Alfon Gonzalez / Tajon Buchanan
47' event Alexandre Zurawski
28' event Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Substitutions
#16 Abdul Mumin
#14 Carlos Martin
#21 Fran Perez
#4 Pedro Diaz Fanjul
#22 Alfonso Espino
#20 Ivan Balliu Campeny
#33 Jozhua Vertrouwd
#11 Randy Nteka
#15 Gerard Gumbau
#1 Dani Cardenas
#32 Nobel Mendy
#30 Juanpe Gil
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Villarreal
15Shots11
7Shots on Goal2
12Fouls10
1Corner Kick9
10Free kick12
1Offside0
1Yellow card1
12Aerial14
2Save5
29Successful Tackles15
3Interceptions6
38Long pass25
2Assist0
3Successful center3
5Substitution5
5Shots off goal4
0Hit The Post1
8Head Success5
3Blocked5
24Tackle10
11Dribbles4
22Throw-in21
473Passes403
122Attacks76
51Dangerous attacks51
1Corner Kicks(HT)3
3BigChances0
2BigChancesMissed0
8ShotsInsideBox6
7ShotsOutsideBox5
58DuelsWon35
1.53ExpectedGoals1
1.49xGOpenPlay0.57
1.53xGNonPenalty1
1.75xGOT0.09
21Touches In Opposition Box30
15AccurateCrosses23
50GroundDuelsWon30
8AerialDuelsWon5
37Clearances22
Villarreal Villarreal
Substitutions
#2 Logan Costa
#16 Thomas Partey
#10 Daniel Parejo Munoz,Parejo
#7 Gerard Moreno Balaguero
#11 Alfon Gonzalez
#1 Luiz Júnior
#9 Georges Mikautadze
#6 Pau Navarro Badenes
#24 Alfonso Pedraza Sag
#19 Nicolas Pepe
#3 Alexander Freeman
Commentary
90+5' Santiago Mourino - Villarreal receive a yellow card
82' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Abdul Mumin / Unai Lopez Cabrera
81' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Alfonso Espino / Pep Chavarria
77' Villarreal — substitution: Logan Costa / Willy Kambwala
74' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Carlos Martin / Alexandre Zurawski
73' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Fran Perez / Sergio Camello
72' Villarreal — substitution: Daniel Parejo Munoz,Parejo / Pape Alassane Gueye
66' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Oscar Guido Trejo
64' Villarreal — substitution: Thomas Partey / Santi Comesana
63' Villarreal — substitution: Gerard Moreno Balaguero / Tani Oluwaseyi
61' Florian Lejeune - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
47' Goal! Alexandre Zurawski - Rayo Vallecano
46' Villarreal — substitution: Alfon Gonzalez / Tajon Buchanan
28' Goal! Sergio Camello - Rayo Vallecano

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villarreal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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