Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Prediction Match Centre

Qarabag

WLWDW

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

2-1

Qarabag
Win Probability 61%

04/05/2026 11:30

Turan Tovuz

WDLWL

4th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz on 04 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz preview before placing your bet.

Qarabag will face Turan Tovuz in Azerbaijan Premier League on May 4, 2026 at 11:30.
Qarabag are currently 2nd with 69 points after 33 matches.
Turan Tovuz sit 4th with 59 points from 33 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.46.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2026-05-04

Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Turan Tovuz

2026-05-04 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

01/02/2026 10:30

Qarabag

1 - 0

Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

17/10/2025 11:00

Turan Tovuz

1 - 2

Qarabag

AZE D1

28/03/2025 11:30

Turan Tovuz

1 - 4

Qarabag

AZE D1

26/01/2025 10:30

Qarabag

1 - 2

Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

01/11/2024 10:30

Turan Tovuz

0 - 0

Qarabag

AZE D1

24/08/2024 10:15

Qarabag

0 - 1

Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

Qarabag

17%

Draw

17%

Turan Tovuz

67%

Qarabag Last 6 matches

30/04/2026 12:00

FC Neftci Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE D1

26/04/2026 11:00

FC Neftci Baku 1 - 5 Qarabag

AZE D1

22/04/2026 12:00

Sabah FK Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE CUP

18/04/2026 11:30

Qarabag 0 - 1 Sabah FK Baku

AZE D1

11/04/2026 07:30

Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Qarabag

AZE D1

06/04/2026 11:00

Qarabag 7 - 0 Karvan Evlakh

AZE D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Turan Tovuz

27/04/2026 10:00

Turan Tovuz 1 - 1 Zira FK

AZE D1

21/04/2026 11:00

Zira FK 0 - 0 Turan Tovuz

AZE CUP

17/04/2026 09:00

Araz Nakhchivan 0 - 3 Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

12/04/2026 10:00

Turan Tovuz 2 - 1 Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

07/04/2026 07:00

Mil Mugan 1 - 1 Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

03/04/2026 09:30

Turan Tovuz 0 - 2 Zira FK

AZE CUP

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Played games

Qarabag

Turan Tovuz

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

Avg. per game

1.38

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

13 (76%)4 (24%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

14 (88%)2 (13%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Turan Tovuz

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)7 9(56%)

/Yes

(24%)4 13(76%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)9 7(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Turan Tovuz

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

15.56 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Turan Tovuz

Total shots

9.38 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag Pass Turan Tovuz

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

62%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

Played games

Turan Tovuz

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.59

Clean sheets

0.44

7.18

122

Corners

3.69

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.06

GK saves

0.06

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Turan Tovuz

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.12

1.63

0.00

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz on 04 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Turan Tovuz's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Turan Tovuz sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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