Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Prediction Match Centre
Qarabag
WLWDW
2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League
1
2-1
Qarabag
Win Probability 61%
04/05/2026 08:30
Turan Tovuz
WDLWL
4th place in Azerbaijan Premier League
Azerbaijan Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz on 04 May 2026 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz preview before placing your bet.

  • Qarabag will face Turan Tovuz in Azerbaijan Premier League on May 4, 2026 at 08:30.
  • Qarabag are currently 2nd with 69 points after 33 matches.
  • Turan Tovuz sit 4th with 59 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.46.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
08:30

2026-05-04

Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag
Qarabag
Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
2026-05-04 08:30
61
23
16
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.46
FT
2-1 0-0
-
weather
13°C
STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sabah FK Baku Sabah FK Baku
78 33 24 6 3 75 25 50
02 Qarabag Qarabag
69 33 21 6 6 71 27 44
03 FC Neftci Baku FC Neftci Baku
59 33 16 11 6 57 32 25
04 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
59 33 17 8 8 44 27 17
05 Zira FK Zira FK
53 33 13 14 6 43 36 7
06 Araz Nakhchivan Araz Nakhchivan
46 33 13 7 13 44 58 -14
07 Standard Sumgayit Standard Sumgayit
38 33 11 5 17 42 50 -8
08 Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
38 33 9 11 13 31 40 -9
09 Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
37 33 8 13 12 24 40 -16
10 Qabala Qabala
27 33 7 6 20 32 49 -17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca FK Kapaz Ganca
27 33 8 3 22 25 61 -36
12 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh
15 33 3 6 24 23 66 -43
Head To Head
01/02/2026 07:30
Qarabag Qarabag
1 - 0
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
17/10/2025 08:00
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
1 - 2
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
28/03/2025 08:30
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
1 - 4
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
26/01/2025 07:30
Qarabag Qarabag
1 - 2
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
01/11/2024 07:30
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
0 - 0
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
24/08/2024 07:15
Qarabag Qarabag
0 - 1
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
Qarabag
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Turan Tovuz
4
67%
Qarabag Qarabag Last 6 matches
30/04/2026 09:00
FC Neftci Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE D1
26/04/2026 08:00
FC Neftci Baku 1 - 5 Qarabag
AZE D1
22/04/2026 09:00
Sabah FK Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE CUP
18/04/2026 08:30
Qarabag 0 - 1 Sabah FK Baku
AZE D1
11/04/2026 04:30
Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Qarabag
AZE D1
06/04/2026 08:00
Qarabag 7 - 0 Karvan Evlakh
AZE D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
27/04/2026 07:00
Turan Tovuz 1 - 1 Zira FK
AZE D1
21/04/2026 08:00
Zira FK 0 - 0 Turan Tovuz
AZE CUP
17/04/2026 06:00
Araz Nakhchivan 0 - 3 Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
12/04/2026 07:00
Turan Tovuz 2 - 1 Standard Sumgayit
AZE D1
07/04/2026 04:00
Mil Mugan 1 - 1 Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
03/04/2026 06:30
Turan Tovuz 0 - 2 Zira FK
AZE CUP
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
33
 Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
33
Goals
Scored
42
Avg. per game
1.27
Conceded
16
Avg. per game
0.48
Scored
27
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
17
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
22 (67%)11 (33%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
21 (64%)12 (36%)
Qarabag

Qarabag

Recent matches

Turan Tovuz

Turan Tovuz

Under /Over

(76%)25 8(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)22 11(33%)

Under /Over

(30%)10 23(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)6 27(82%)

Under /Over

(52%)17 16(48%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

/Yes

(45%)15 18(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)15 18(55%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Qarabag Qarabag
Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
Shots
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
14.59 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
Total shots
8.69 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Qarabag Qarabag Pass Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
60%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
3526
Avg. 106.85 / game
 Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
2883
Avg. 87.36 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
2400
Avg. 72.73 / game
 Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
1722
Avg. 52.18 / game
OTHERS
Qarabag
Qarabag
33
Played games
Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.42
14
Clean sheets
16
0.48
6.76
223
Corners
117
3.55
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.06
2
GK saves
7
0.21
Qarabag
Qarabag
DISCIPLINARY
Turan Tovuz
Turan Tovuz
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.45
48
Yellow card
61
1.85
0.03
1
Red card
1
0.03
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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How We Build the Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz on 04 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Turan Tovuz Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Turan Tovuz's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Turan Tovuz sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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