Qarabag vs Samaxı FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Qarabag
WDWWW
1st place in Azerbaijan Premier League
1
3-2
FT
17/01/2025 15:00
Samaxı FC
WDDLL
7th place in Azerbaijan Premier League
Azerbaijan Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 17 January 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Samaxı FC preview before placing your bet.

  • Qarabag are currently 1st with 89 points after 36 matches.
  • Samaxı FC sit 7th with 36 points from 36 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 81%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Samaxı FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2025-01-17

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag
Qarabag
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
2025-01-17 15:00
81
12
7
1
3 - 1
3 - 1
3.25
1.07
FT
3-2 2-2
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Qarabag Qarabag
89 36 28 5 3 86 19 67
02 Zira FK Zira FK
74 36 23 5 8 59 27 32
03 Araz Nakhchivan Araz Nakhchivan
58 36 15 13 8 34 29 5
04 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
55 36 14 13 9 45 39 6
05 Sabah FK Baku Sabah FK Baku
48 36 10 18 8 50 46 4
06 FC Neftci Baku FC Neftci Baku
43 36 10 13 13 39 49 -10
07 Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
36 36 9 9 18 32 46 -14
08 Standard Sumgayit Standard Sumgayit
33 36 9 6 21 31 53 -22
09 FK Kapaz Ganca FK Kapaz Ganca
32 36 8 8 20 28 65 -37
10 Sabail Sabail
22 36 4 10 22 28 59 -31
Head To Head
19/12/2024 10:00
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
27/10/2024 15:00
Qarabag Qarabag
3 - 0
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
02/04/2023 11:30
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
31/01/2023 12:00
Qarabag Qarabag
3 - 1
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
30/10/2022 11:00
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 4
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
27/08/2022 16:30
Qarabag Qarabag
4 - 0
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
Qarabag
6
100%
Draw
0
0%
Samaxı FC
0
0%
Qarabag Qarabag Last 6 matches
22/12/2024 12:30
Qarabag 2 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1
19/12/2024 10:00
Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1
16/12/2024 15:00
Qarabag 5 - 0 Standard Sumgayit AZE D1
12/12/2024 20:00
Elfsborg 1 - 0 Qarabag UEFA EL
07/12/2024 14:00
Sabah FK Baku 1 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1
04/12/2024 12:00
Qabala 0 - 2 Qarabag AZE CUP
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
09/01/2025 12:00
Zira FK 3 - 1 Samaxı FC INT CF
22/12/2024 10:00
Samaxı FC 3 - 1 Sabah FK Baku AZE D1
19/12/2024 10:00
Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1
14/12/2024 10:20
Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Sabail AZE D1
09/12/2024 15:00
Turan Tovuz 3 - 2 Samaxı FC AZE D1
04/12/2024 15:00
Zira FK 3 - 1 Samaxı FC AZE CUP
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
36
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
36
Goals
Scored
38
Avg. per game
1.06
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
0.22
Scored
19
Avg. per game
0.53
Conceded
21
Avg. per game
0.58
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 36 matches
YesNo
23 (64%)13 (36%)
In last 36 matches
NoYes
15 (42%)21 (58%)
Qarabag

Qarabag

Recent matches

Samaxı FC

Samaxı FC

Under /Over

(78%)28 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)22 14(39%)

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)10 26(72%)

Under /Over

(50%)18 18(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(25%)9 27(75%)

/Yes

(36%)13 23(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)15 21(58%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Qarabag Qarabag
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
Shots
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
13.75 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Total shots
7.69 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Qarabag Qarabag Pass Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
68%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
—
TOTAL ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
4092
Avg. 113.67 / game
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
2913
Avg. 80.92 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
2754
Avg. 76.50 / game
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
1485
Avg. 41.25 / game
OTHERS
Qarabag
Qarabag
36
Played games
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
36
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.61
22
Clean sheets
8
0.22
6.94
250
Corners
143
3.97
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Qarabag
Qarabag
DISCIPLINARY
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.53
55
Yellow card
79
2.19
0.06
2
Red card
2
0.06
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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NEXT MATCHES
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VS
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AZE
08/22
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VS
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE
08/29
Qabala Qabala
VS
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AZE
09/05
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VS
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE
09/12
Standard Sumgayit Standard Sumgayit
VS
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE

How We Build the Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 17 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samaxı FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Samaxı FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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