Qarabag vs Samaxı FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Qarabag

W D W W W

1st place in Azerbaijan Premier League

3-2

17/01/2025 15:00

Samaxı FC

W D D L L

7th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 17 January 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Samaxı FC preview before placing your bet.

Qarabag are currently 1st with 89 points after 36 matches.
Samaxı FC sit 7th with 36 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 81%.
Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Samaxı FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-01-17

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

2025-01-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Qarabag	89	36	28	5	3	86	19	67
02 Zira FK	74	36	23	5	8	59	27	32
03 Araz Nakhchivan	58	36	15	13	8	34	29	5
04 Turan Tovuz	55	36	14	13	9	45	39	6
05 Sabah FK Baku	48	36	10	18	8	50	46	4
06 FC Neftci Baku	43	36	10	13	13	39	49	-10
07 Samaxı FC	36	36	9	9	18	32	46	-14
08 Standard Sumgayit	33	36	9	6	21	31	53	-22
09 FK Kapaz Ganca	32	36	8	8	20	28	65	-37
10 Sabail	22	36	4	10	22	28	59	-31

Head To Head

19/12/2024 10:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

27/10/2024 15:00

Qarabag

3 - 0

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

02/04/2023 11:30

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

31/01/2023 12:00

Qarabag

3 - 1

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

30/10/2022 11:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 4

Qarabag

AZE D1

27/08/2022 16:30

Qarabag

4 - 0

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

Qarabag

100%

Draw

Samaxı FC

Qarabag Last 6 matches

22/12/2024 12:30

Qarabag 2 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

19/12/2024 10:00

Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

16/12/2024 15:00

Qarabag 5 - 0 Standard Sumgayit AZE D1

12/12/2024 20:00

Elfsborg 1 - 0 Qarabag UEFA EL

07/12/2024 14:00

Sabah FK Baku 1 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

04/12/2024 12:00

Qabala 0 - 2 Qarabag AZE CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Samaxı FC

09/01/2025 12:00

Zira FK 3 - 1 Samaxı FC INT CF

22/12/2024 10:00

Samaxı FC 3 - 1 Sabah FK Baku AZE D1

19/12/2024 10:00

Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

14/12/2024 10:20

Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Sabail AZE D1

09/12/2024 15:00

Turan Tovuz 3 - 2 Samaxı FC AZE D1

04/12/2024 15:00

Zira FK 3 - 1 Samaxı FC AZE CUP

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Played games

Goals

Scored

653

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

308

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored

228

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

293

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

258 (86%)42 (14%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

130 (61%)84 (39%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Samaxı FC

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Samaxı FC

Total shots

9.07 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag Pass Samaxı FC

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

300

Played games

Samaxı FC

214

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

122

Clean sheets

0.28

6.20

1859

Corners

806

3.77

2.88

864

Throw-ins

0.00

0.62

185

Offsides

0.05

0.81

243

GK saves

0.09

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Samaxı FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

483

399

1.86

0.05

0.07

3.19

957

Fouls

0.43

2.59

777

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 17 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samaxı FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Samaxı FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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