Qarabag vs Mil Mugan: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Prediction Match Centre
Qarabag
WLWDW
2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League
3 - 0
16/05/2026 06:00
Mil Mugan
WLWDL
9th place in Azerbaijan Premier League
Azerbaijan Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Mil Mugan on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Mil Mugan preview before placing your bet.

  • Qarabag will face Mil Mugan in Azerbaijan Premier League on May 16, 2026 at 06:00.
  • Qarabag are currently 2nd with 69 points after 33 matches.
  • Mil Mugan sit 9th with 37 points from 33 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sabah FK Baku Sabah FK Baku
78 33 24 6 3 75 25 50
02 Qarabag Qarabag
69 33 21 6 6 71 27 44
03 FC Neftci Baku FC Neftci Baku
59 33 16 11 6 57 32 25
04 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
59 33 17 8 8 44 27 17
05 Zira FK Zira FK
53 33 13 14 6 43 36 7
06 Araz Nakhchivan Araz Nakhchivan
46 33 13 7 13 44 58 -14
07 Standard Sumgayit Standard Sumgayit
38 33 11 5 17 42 50 -8
08 Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
38 33 9 11 13 31 40 -9
09 Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
37 33 8 13 12 24 40 -16
10 Qabala Qabala
27 33 7 6 20 32 49 -17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca FK Kapaz Ganca
27 33 8 3 22 25 61 -36
12 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh
15 33 3 6 24 23 66 -43
Head To Head
14/02/2026 03:30
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
31/10/2025 06:00
Qarabag Qarabag
2 - 0
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
AZE D1
18/12/2010 02:00
Qarabag Qarabag
2 - 0
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
AZE D1
24/10/2010 03:00
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
0 - 0
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
10/12/2009 03:15
Qarabag Qarabag
2 - 1
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
AZE D1
21/10/2009 04:10
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
Mil Mugan
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Qarabag
2
33%
Qarabag Qarabag Last 6 matches
09/05/2026 06:00
Qabala 1 - 1 Qarabag
AZE D1
04/05/2026 08:30
Qarabag 2 - 1 Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
30/04/2026 09:00
FC Neftci Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE D1
26/04/2026 08:00
FC Neftci Baku 1 - 5 Qarabag
AZE D1
22/04/2026 09:00
Sabah FK Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE CUP
18/04/2026 08:30
Qarabag 0 - 1 Sabah FK Baku
AZE D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
08/05/2026 05:30
Mil Mugan 0 - 0 Zira FK
AZE D1
02/05/2026 07:30
Araz Nakhchivan 0 - 1 Mil Mugan
AZE D1
25/04/2026 05:00
Mil Mugan 0 - 2 Standard Sumgayit
AZE D1
19/04/2026 04:30
FK Kapaz Ganca 0 - 1 Mil Mugan
AZE D1
12/04/2026 04:30
Qabala 0 - 1 Mil Mugan
AZE D1
07/04/2026 04:00
Mil Mugan 1 - 1 Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...
Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
33
 Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
33
Goals
Scored
71
Avg. per game
2.15
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.82
Scored
24
Avg. per game
0.73
Conceded
40
Avg. per game
1.21
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
27 (82%)6 (18%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
15 (45%)18 (55%)
Qarabag

Qarabag

Recent matches

Mil Mugan

Mil Mugan

Under /Over

(76%)25 8(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(52%)17 16(48%)

Under /Over

(30%)10 23(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)7 26(79%)

Under /Over

(52%)17 16(48%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)10 23(70%)

/Yes

(45%)15 18(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(24%)8 25(76%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Qarabag Qarabag
Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
Shots
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
14.59 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
Total shots
7.09 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Qarabag Qarabag Pass Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
60%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
45%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
3526
Avg. 106.85 / game
 Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
2617
Avg. 79.30 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
2400
Avg. 72.73 / game
 Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
1292
Avg. 39.15 / game
OTHERS
Qarabag
Qarabag
33
Played games
Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.42
14
Clean sheets
14
0.42
6.76
223
Corners
114
3.45
0.00
0
Throw-ins
7
0.21
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.06
2
GK saves
4
0.12
Qarabag
Qarabag
DISCIPLINARY
Mil Mugan
Mil Mugan
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.45
48
Yellow card
65
1.97
0.03
1
Red card
2
0.06
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
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UEF
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VS
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NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Qarabag vs Mil Mugan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Mil Mugan on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Mil Mugan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mil Mugan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Mil Mugan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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