PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

PSMS Medan

D D L W D

7th place in Group A

2-0

28/09/2025 12:00

Sumsel United

L LDDL

4th place in Group A

Indonesia Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United preview before placing your bet.

PSMS Medan are currently 7th with 36 points after 27 matches.
Sumsel United sit 4th with 42 points from 27 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: PSMS Medan to win with probability 54%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-09-28

PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United - Prediction & Odds

PSMS Medan

Sumsel United

2025-09-28 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Garudayaksa	52	27	14	10	3	49	19	30
02 Adhyaksa Farmel FC	51	27	14	9	4	64	34	30
03 FC Bekasi City	44	27	12	8	7	42	27	15
04 Sumsel United	42	27	12	6	9	40	33	7
05 Persiraja Aceh	40	27	10	10	7	42	32	10
06 PSPS Pekanbaru	37	27	9	10	8	50	45	5
07 PSMS Medan	36	27	9	9	9	33	31	2
08 Persikad Depok	34	27	9	7	11	39	45	-6
09 Persekat Tegal	27	27	6	9	12	23	38	-15
10 Sriwijaya FC	2	27	0	2	25	15	93	-78

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSS Sleman	56	27	16	8	3	53	19	34
02 Persipura Jayapura	56	27	17	5	5	44	17	27
03 Barito Putera	53	27	15	8	4	41	18	23
04 Beigan Baru Tornado	50	27	15	5	7	47	21	26
05 Deltras Sidoarjo	42	27	13	3	11	39	33	6
06 Persela Lamongan	41	27	11	8	8	34	26	8
07 Persiku Kudus	27	27	7	6	14	35	41	-6
08 PSIS Semarang	23	27	6	5	16	22	50	-28
09 Persiba Balikpapan	19	27	4	7	16	23	42	-19
10 Persipal Palu	7	27	0	7	20	19	90	-71

PSMS Medan Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 08:30

PSPS Pekanbaru 3 - 3 PSMS Medan IDN L2

12/09/2025 12:00

PSMS Medan 0 - 1 Persekat Tegal IDN L2

15/02/2025 08:30

PSMS Medan 3 - 1 Persikota Tangerang IDN L2

10/02/2025 08:30

Sriwijaya FC 1 - 0 PSMS Medan IDN L2

04/02/2025 08:30

PSMS Medan 4 - 0 Nusantara United IDN L2

30/01/2025 08:00

Nusantara United 0 - 1 PSMS Medan IDN L2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sumsel United

22/09/2025 12:00

Sumsel United 3 - 2 Persiraja Aceh IDN L2

13/09/2025 08:30

Persikad Depok 0 - 1 Sumsel United IDN L2

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Indonesia Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

PSMS Medan

Sumsel United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 18 matches

YesNo

9 (50%)9 (50%)

In last 18 matches

NoYes

16 (62%)10 (38%)

PSMS Medan

Recent matches

Sumsel United

Under /Over

(78%)14 4(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(81%)21 5(19%)

Under /Over

(22%)4 14(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)9 17(65%)

Under /Over

(28%)5 13(72%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(46%)12 14(54%)

/Yes

(61%)11 7(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)16 10(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

PSMS Medan

Sumsel United

Shots

PSMS Medan

Total shots

10.41 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sumsel United

Total shots

8.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

PSMS Medan Pass Sumsel United

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

PSMS Medan

Played games

Sumsel United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.23

3.78

Corners

114

4.38

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.33

Offsides

0.62

0.00

GK saves

0.23

PSMS Medan

DISCIPLINARY

Sumsel United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.67

2.27

0.28

0.27

5.94

107

Fouls

145

5.58

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Indonesia Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess PSMS Medan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sumsel United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Indonesia Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Indonesia Division 1 standings and the Indonesia Division 1 form table to understand exactly where PSMS Medan and Sumsel United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Indonesia Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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