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Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 23

Progreso Reserves
LWWLL
No standing data
2
0-2
FT
23/03/2026 12:30
Penarol Reserve
LWWDD
No standing data
Uruguay Reserve League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve on March 23, 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve preview before placing for you.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Penarol Reserve to win with probability 42%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Progreso Reserves, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penarol Reserve have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
12:30

2026-03-23

Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve - Prediction & Odds

Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
2026-03-23 12:30
30
28
42
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.09
FT
0-2 0-1
-
weather
21°C
STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Progreso Reserves and Penarol Reserve in the Uruguay Reserve League football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
17/11/2025 12:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
4 - 0
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
19/05/2025 11:00
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
0 - 0
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
09/09/2024 11:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
3 - 1
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
09/11/2021 11:30
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
2 - 1
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
03/09/2019 11:00
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
1 - 0
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
28/05/2019 11:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
1 - 3
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
Progreso Reserves
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Penarol Reserve
2
33%
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves Last 6 matches
16/03/2026 11:35
Progreso Reserves 0 - 3 Deportivo Maldonado Reserve URU RL
09/03/2026 12:30
CA River Plate Reserves 0 - 3 Progreso Reserves URU RL
01/12/2025 05:00
Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 2 - 3 Progreso Reserves URU RL
24/11/2025 05:00
Progreso Reserves 0 - 3 Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves URU RL
17/11/2025 12:00
Penarol Reserve 4 - 0 Progreso Reserves URU RL
10/11/2025 05:00
Progreso Reserves 1 - 4 Torque Reserves URU RL
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
16/03/2026 12:30
Penarol Reserve 0 - 1 CA River Plate Reserves URU RL
09/03/2026 12:30
Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 1 - 2 Penarol Reserve URU RL
15/12/2025 12:30
Penarol Reserve 1 - 0 Torque Reserves URU RL
11/12/2025 12:30
Torque Reserves 0 - 0 Penarol Reserve URU RL
08/12/2025 05:30
Torque Reserves 1 - 1 Penarol Reserve URU RL
01/12/2025 12:00
Penarol Reserve 3 - 0 Oriental La Paz Reserve URU RL
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Reserve League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
20
 Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
20
Goals
Scored
13
Avg. per game
0.65
Conceded
13
Avg. per game
0.65
Scored
14
Avg. per game
0.70
Conceded
7
Avg. per game
0.35
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 20 matches
YesNo
9 (45%)11 (55%)
In last 20 matches
NoYes
8 (40%)12 (60%)
Progreso Reserves

Progreso Reserves

Recent matches

Penarol Reserve

Penarol Reserve

Under /Over

(60%)12 8(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)14 6(30%)

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

Under /Over

(15%)3 17(85%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)8 12(60%)

/Yes

(20%)4 16(80%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)9 11(55%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
Shots
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Total shots
10.50 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
Total shots
10.67 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves Pass Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
55%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
2004
Avg. 100.20 / game
 Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
1641
Avg. 82.05 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
1162
Avg. 58.10 / game
 Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
936
Avg. 46.80 / game
OTHERS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
20
Played games
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
20
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.45
9
Clean sheets
9
0.45
4.70
94
Corners
93
4.65
3.10
62
Throw-ins
30
1.50
0.45
9
Offsides
4
0.20
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
DISCIPLINARY
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.85
37
Yellow card
41
2.05
0.30
6
Red card
5
0.25
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve on 23 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Reserve League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Progreso Reserves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penarol Reserve's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Reserve League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Reserve League standings and the Uruguay Reserve League form table to understand exactly where Progreso Reserves and Penarol Reserve sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Reserve League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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