Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 23

Progreso Reserves

L W W L L

No standing data

0-2

23/03/2026 12:30

Penarol Reserve

L W W D D

No standing data

Uruguay Reserve League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve on March 23, 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve preview before placing for you.

Our algorithm prediction: Penarol Reserve to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Progreso Reserves, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penarol Reserve have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2026-03-23

Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve - Prediction & Odds

Progreso Reserves

Penarol Reserve

2026-03-23 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Progreso Reserves and Penarol Reserve in the Uruguay Reserve League football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

17/11/2025 12:00

Penarol Reserve

4 - 0

Progreso Reserves

URU RL

19/05/2025 11:00

Progreso Reserves

0 - 0

Penarol Reserve

URU RL

09/09/2024 11:00

Penarol Reserve

3 - 1

Progreso Reserves

URU RL

09/11/2021 11:30

Progreso Reserves

2 - 1

Penarol Reserve

URU RL

03/09/2019 11:00

Progreso Reserves

1 - 0

Penarol Reserve

URU RL

28/05/2019 11:00

Penarol Reserve

1 - 3

Progreso Reserves

URU RL

Progreso Reserves

50%

Draw

17%

Penarol Reserve

33%

Progreso Reserves Last 6 matches

16/03/2026 11:35

Progreso Reserves 0 - 3 Deportivo Maldonado Reserve URU RL

09/03/2026 12:30

CA River Plate Reserves 0 - 3 Progreso Reserves URU RL

01/12/2025 05:00

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 2 - 3 Progreso Reserves URU RL

24/11/2025 05:00

Progreso Reserves 0 - 3 Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves URU RL

17/11/2025 12:00

Penarol Reserve 4 - 0 Progreso Reserves URU RL

10/11/2025 05:00

Progreso Reserves 1 - 4 Torque Reserves URU RL

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Penarol Reserve

16/03/2026 12:30

Penarol Reserve 0 - 1 CA River Plate Reserves URU RL

09/03/2026 12:30

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 1 - 2 Penarol Reserve URU RL

15/12/2025 12:30

Penarol Reserve 1 - 0 Torque Reserves URU RL

11/12/2025 12:30

Torque Reserves 0 - 0 Penarol Reserve URU RL

08/12/2025 05:30

Torque Reserves 1 - 1 Penarol Reserve URU RL

01/12/2025 12:00

Penarol Reserve 3 - 0 Oriental La Paz Reserve URU RL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Reserve League

Played games

Goals

Scored

143

Avg. per game

1.39

Conceded

128

Avg. per game

1.24

Scored

306

Avg. per game

1.96

Conceded

139

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 103 matches

YesNo

74 (72%)29 (28%)

In last 103 matches

NoYes

132 (85%)24 (15%)

Progreso Reserves

Recent matches

Penarol Reserve

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Progreso Reserves

Penarol Reserve

Shots

Progreso Reserves

Total shots

9.06 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Penarol Reserve

Total shots

11.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Progreso Reserves Pass Penarol Reserve

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Progreso Reserves

103

Played games

Penarol Reserve

156

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.44

4.42

455

Corners

806

5.17

0.60

Throw-ins

0.19

0.28

Offsides

0.24

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Progreso Reserves

DISCIPLINARY

Penarol Reserve

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.10

216

334

2.14

0.20

0.20

0.95

Fouls

200

1.28

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve on 23 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Reserve League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Progreso Reserves vs Penarol Reserve Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Progreso Reserves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penarol Reserve's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Reserve League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Reserve League standings and the Uruguay Reserve League form table to understand exactly where Progreso Reserves and Penarol Reserve sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Reserve League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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