Preston North End vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Betiball's prediction for Preston North End vs Derby County on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Preston North End vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Preston North End vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 17/01/2026 11:00

Preston North End
0 - 1
Finished
Derby County
87' event Jordan Thompson
79' event Michael Smith / Alistair Mccann
79' event Jordan Thompson / Lewis Dobbin
68' event Pol Valentin / Brad Potts
67' event Daniel Jebbison / Milutin Osmajic
66' event Lewis Dobbin
58' event Thierry Small / Jamal Lewis
event 89' Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
event 89' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
event 87' Liam Thompson
event 82' Patrick Agyemang
event 73' Liam Thompson / David Ozoh
event 72' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
event 63' Callum Elder
event 57' Ben Brereton
event 40' David Ozoh
event 38' Bobby Clark
87' event Jordan Thompson
event 89' Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
79' event Michael Smith / Alistair Mccann
event 89' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
79' event Jordan Thompson / Lewis Dobbin
event 87' Liam Thompson
68' event Pol Valentin / Brad Potts
event 82' Patrick Agyemang
67' event Daniel Jebbison / Milutin Osmajic
event 73' Liam Thompson / David Ozoh
66' event Lewis Dobbin
event 72' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
58' event Thierry Small / Jamal Lewis
event 63' Callum Elder
event 57' Ben Brereton
event 40' David Ozoh
event 38' Bobby Clark
Preston North End Preston North End
Substitutions
#2 Pol Valentin
#26 Thierry Small
#9 Daniel Jebbison
#24 Michael Smith
#15 Jordan Thompson
#34 Kitt Nelson
#6 Liam Lindsay
#13 David Cornell
#10 Mads Frokjaer
Preston North End Preston North End Derby County Derby County
13Shots18
2Shots on Goal4
7Fouls12
5Corner Kick10
12Free kick7
0Offside2
2Yellow card5
26Aerial1
4Save2
25Successful Tackles14
12Interceptions11
17Long pass20
0Assist1
3Successful center8
8Shots off goal8
20Head Success18
3Blocked6
14Tackle11
6Dribbles6
17Throw-in35
362Passes336
89Attacks104
34Dangerous attacks58
2Corner Kicks(HT)7
0BigChances2
0BigChancesMissed2
6ShotsInsideBox14
7ShotsOutsideBox4
59DuelsWon43
0.73ExpectedGoals1.76
0.63xGOpenPlay1.35
0.73xGNonPenalty1.76
0.61xGOT1.84
17Touches In Opposition Box31
13AccurateCrosses19
40GroundDuelsWon24
19AerialDuelsWon19
51Clearances34
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#14 Andreas Weimann
#29 Oscar Luigi Fraulo
#16 Liam Thompson
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#24 Ryan Nyambe
#11 Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor
#12 Richard ODonnell
#3 Craig Forsyth
#99 Harley Price
Commentary
89' Derby County — substitution: Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
89' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
87' Jordan Thompson - Preston North End receive a yellow card
87' Liam Thompson - Derby County receive a yellow card
82' Goal! Patrick Agyemang - Derby County
79' Preston North End — substitution: Michael Smith / Alistair Mccann
79' Preston North End — substitution: Jordan Thompson / Lewis Dobbin
73' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / David Ozoh
72' Derby County — substitution: Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Rhian Brewster
68' Preston North End — substitution: Pol Valentin / Brad Potts
67' Preston North End — substitution: Daniel Jebbison / Milutin Osmajic
66' Lewis Dobbin - Preston North End receive a yellow card
63' Callum Elder - Derby County receive a yellow card
58' Preston North End — substitution: Thierry Small / Jamal Lewis
57' Ben Brereton - Derby County receive a yellow card
40' David Ozoh - Derby County receive a yellow card
38' Bobby Clark - Derby County receive a yellow card

How We Build the Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Preston North End vs Derby County on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Preston North End vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Preston North End's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Preston North End and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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