Portugal vs Wales: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 September

Prediction

Portugal

L W D W D

3rd place in Group D

? - ?

24/09/2026 14:45

Wales

L D D D W

4th place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Portugal vs Wales on 24 September 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Portugal vs Wales preview before placing your bet.

Portugal are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Wales sit 4th with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2026

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Denmark	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Norway	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Portugal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Wales	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Portugal Last 6 matches

07/07/2026 02:00

Portugal 0 - 1 Spain FIFA World Cup

03/07/2026 06:00

Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia FIFA World Cup

28/06/2026 06:30

Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal FIFA World Cup

24/06/2026 00:00

Portugal 5 - 0 Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup

18/06/2026 00:00

Portugal 1 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo FIFA World Cup

11/06/2026 02:45

Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria International Friendly

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Wales

07/06/2026 00:45

Romania 2 - 1 Wales International Friendly

03/06/2026 01:45

Wales 1 - 1 Ghana International Friendly

01/04/2026 01:45

Wales 1 - 1 Northern Ireland International Club Friendly

27/03/2026 02:45

Wales 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

19/11/2025 02:45

Wales 7 - 1 North Macedonia FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

16/11/2025 00:00

Liechtenstein 0 - 1 Wales FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Played games

Portugal

Wales

Goals

Scored

215

Avg. per game

2.39

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 90 matches

YesNo

71 (79%)19 (21%)

In last 90 matches

NoYes

56 (73%)21 (27%)

Portugal

Recent matches

Wales

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Portugal

Wales

Shots

Portugal

Total shots

16.33 avg / game

Blocked

253 total

Avg. 3.89

Wales

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

182 total

Avg. 3.37

Portugal Pass Wales

Total passes

41258

Avg. 598 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

26423

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Portugal

Played games

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.38

5.79

521

Corners

302

3.92

13.06

1175

Throw-ins

991

12.87

2.01

181

Offsides

1.13

1.94

175

GK saves

158

2.05

Portugal

DISCIPLINARY

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.33

120

120

1.56

0.03

0.10

8.81

793

Fouls

682

8.86

9.60

864

Tackles

710

9.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Portugal vs Wales Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Portugal vs Wales on 24 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Portugal vs Wales Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Portugal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wales's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Portugal and Wales sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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