Port Vale vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 November

Betiball's prediction for Port Vale vs Derby County on 28 November 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Port Vale vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Port Vale vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 28/11/2023 15:45

Port Vale
0 - 1
Finished
Derby County
84' event Ryan Loft
81' event Jesse Debrah / Alex Iacovitti
79' event Ethan Chislett / Alfie Devine
78' event James Plant / Gavin Massey
71' event Alex Iacovitti
70' event Ryan Loft / Uche Ikpeazu
event 90+5' Louie Sibley / Conor Hourihane
event 85' Sonny Bradley / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
event 77' Tyreece John Jules
event 76' Tyreece John Jules / James Collins
event 76' Tom Barkhuizen / Ryan Nyambe
84' event Ryan Loft
event 90+5' Louie Sibley / Conor Hourihane
81' event Jesse Debrah / Alex Iacovitti
event 85' Sonny Bradley / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
79' event Ethan Chislett / Alfie Devine
event 77' Tyreece John Jules
78' event James Plant / Gavin Massey
event 76' Tyreece John Jules / James Collins
71' event Alex Iacovitti
event 76' Tom Barkhuizen / Ryan Nyambe
70' event Ryan Loft / Uche Ikpeazu
Port Vale Port Vale
Substitutions
#9 Ryan Loft
#10 Ethan Chislett
#21 James Plant
#27 Jesse Debrah
#13 Jayson Leutwiler
#20 Tom Conlon
#24 Rhys Walters
Port Vale Port Vale Derby County Derby County
7Shots11
3Shots on Goal7
12Fouls9
9Corner Kick6
14Free kick14
2Offside5
2Yellow card0
41Aerial39
6Save5
6Successful Tackles3
3Interceptions8
4Shots off goal4
23Head Success17
2Blocked1
8Tackle11
5Dribbles4
15Throw-in21
359Passes368
110Attacks92
49Dangerous attacks48
3Corner Kicks(HT)4
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#5 Sonny Bradley
#19 Tyreece John Jules
#17 Louie Sibley
#7 Tom Barkhuizen
#23 Joe Ward
#31 Josh Vickers
#10 Martyn Waghorn
Commentary
90+5' Derby County — substitution: Louie Sibley / Conor Hourihane
85' Derby County — substitution: Sonny Bradley / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
84' Ryan Loft - Port Vale receive a yellow card
81' Port Vale — substitution: Jesse Debrah / Alex Iacovitti
79' Port Vale — substitution: Ethan Chislett / Alfie Devine
78' Port Vale — substitution: James Plant / Gavin Massey
77' Goal! Tyreece John Jules - Derby County
76' Derby County — substitution: Tyreece John Jules / James Collins
76' Derby County — substitution: Tom Barkhuizen / Ryan Nyambe
71' Alex Iacovitti - Port Vale receive a yellow card
70' Port Vale — substitution: Ryan Loft / Uche Ikpeazu

How We Build the Port Vale vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Port Vale vs Derby County on 28 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Port Vale vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Port Vale's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Port Vale and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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