Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 October

Pontypridd

W L L W D

11th place in South

5-2

03/10/2025 14:30

Treowen Stars

W W L L L

9th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars on 03 October 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars preview before placing your bet.

Pontypridd are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Treowen Stars sit 9th with 37 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Pontypridd to win with probability 50%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-10-03

Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars - Prediction & Odds

Pontypridd

Treowen Stars

2025-10-03 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/10/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Pontypridd Last 6 matches

26/09/2025 14:30

Ammanford 1 - 1 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

12/09/2025 14:30

Pontypridd 1 - 3 Newport City WAL FAWC

05/09/2025 14:30

Pontypridd 3 - 1 Carmarthen WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Pontypridd 1 - 2 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:40

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Treowen Stars

27/09/2025 09:30

Treowen Stars 0 - 5 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

12/09/2025 14:30

Carmarthen 1 - 1 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

06/09/2025 09:30

Treowen Stars 2 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Trey Thomas Drossel 1 - 1 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Ammanford 1 - 0 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Treowen Stars 1 - 3 Trefelin WAL FAWC

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Played games

Pontypridd

185

Treowen Stars

Goals

Scored

295

Avg. per game

1.59

Conceded

277

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 185 matches

YesNo

129 (70%)56 (30%)

In last 185 matches

NoYes

30 (81%)7 (19%)

Pontypridd

Recent matches

Treowen Stars

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(92%)34 3(8%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)15 22(59%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(76%)28 9(24%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)24 13(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pontypridd

Treowen Stars

Shots

Pontypridd

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Treowen Stars

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pontypridd Pass Treowen Stars

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pontypridd

185

Played games

Treowen Stars

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.16

3.97

734

Corners

117

3.16

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.23

Offsides

1.03

0.88

162

GK saves

0.00

Pontypridd

DISCIPLINARY

Treowen Stars

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

326

1.84

0.13

0.19

1.49

276

Fouls

161

4.35

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

How We Build the Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars on 03 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pontypridd vs Treowen Stars Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pontypridd's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Treowen Stars's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Pontypridd and Treowen Stars sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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