Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 15

Plymouth Argyle

L W L W W

23rd place in England Championship

2-3

15/03/2025 11:00

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County on March 15, 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County preview before placing for you.

Plymouth Argyle are currently 23rd with 46 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Plymouth Argyle, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-03-15

Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Plymouth Argyle

Derby County

2025-03-15 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

09/11/2024 11:00

Derby County

1 - 1

Plymouth Argyle

ENG LCH

07/03/2023 16:00

Plymouth Argyle

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG L1

03/09/2022 10:00

Derby County

2 - 3

Plymouth Argyle

ENG L1

26/01/2010 15:45

Plymouth Argyle

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/08/2009 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Plymouth Argyle

ENG LCH

07/02/2009 11:00

Plymouth Argyle

0 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

Plymouth Argyle

50%

Draw

17%

Derby County

33%

Plymouth Argyle Last 6 matches

04/03/2025 15:45

Hull City 2 - 0 Plymouth Argyle ENG LCH

01/03/2025 13:45

Manchester City 3 - 1 Plymouth Argyle ENG FAC

22/02/2025 08:30

Plymouth Argyle 1 - 1 Cardiff City ENG LCH

19/02/2025 15:45

Luton Town 1 - 1 Plymouth Argyle ENG LCH

15/02/2025 11:00

Blackburn Rovers 2 - 0 Plymouth Argyle ENG LCH

12/02/2025 15:45

Plymouth Argyle 5 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

01/03/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

22/02/2025 08:30

Derby County 0 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

14/02/2025 16:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 4 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

11/02/2025 15:45

Derby County 0 - 0 Oxford United ENG LCH

08/02/2025 11:00

Norwich City 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

01/02/2025 11:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Sheffield United ENG LCH

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Plymouth Argyle

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.70

Scored

Avg. per game

1.09

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

19 (83%)4 (17%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

14 (61%)9 (39%)

Plymouth Argyle

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(87%)20 3(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

Under /Over

(35%)8 15(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)4 19(83%)

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)7 16(70%)

/Yes

(78%)18 5(22%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(30%)7 16(70%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Plymouth Argyle

Derby County

Shots

Plymouth Argyle

Total shots

11.04 avg / game

Blocked

43 total

Avg. 2.69

Derby County

Total shots

12.00 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

Plymouth Argyle Pass Derby County

Total passes

7906

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

7539

Avg. 328 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Plymouth Argyle

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.04

Clean sheets

0.43

3.57

Corners

122

5.30

23.43

539

Throw-ins

549

23.87

1.96

Offsides

1.91

3.13

GK saves

2.22

Plymouth Argyle

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

1.74

0.00

0.00

10.57

243

Fouls

267

11.61

16.57

381

Tackles

421

18.30

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County on 15 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Plymouth Argyle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Plymouth Argyle and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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