Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 13

Penybont FC

L W W D W

2nd place in League

3-1

13/04/2025 09:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penybont FC vs Caernarfon on April 13, 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penybont FC vs Caernarfon preview before placing for you.

Penybont FC are currently 2nd with 50 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Penybont FC to win with probability 53%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-04-13

Penybont FC vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Penybont FC

Caernarfon

2025-04-13 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 13/04/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

22/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon

3 - 2

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

02/11/2024 10:30

Caernarfon

1 - 5

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

07/09/2024 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

2 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/05/2024 09:45

Caernarfon

3 - 1

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

04/11/2023 10:30

Caernarfon

2 - 4

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

16/09/2023 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Penybont FC

Draw

Caernarfon

Penybont FC Last 6 matches

29/03/2025 10:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 1 - 0 The New Saints Welsh PR

21/03/2025 15:45

Haverfordwest County 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

14/03/2025 15:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 0 - 0 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

08/03/2025 10:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 3 - 2 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

22/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

08/02/2025 08:15

The New Saints 4 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

29/03/2025 10:30

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

21/03/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 5 - 0 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

11/03/2025 15:45

The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

08/03/2025 10:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 4 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

22/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

408

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

302

Avg. per game

1.23

Scored

395

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

424

Avg. per game

1.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 246 matches

YesNo

181 (74%)65 (26%)

In last 246 matches

NoYes

188 (78%)53 (22%)

Penybont FC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penybont FC

Caernarfon

Shots

Penybont FC

Total shots

10.20 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Penybont FC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penybont FC

246

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.24

4.74

1167

Corners

1044

4.33

0.14

Throw-ins

0.12

0.11

Offsides

0.12

0.96

237

GK saves

379

1.57

Penybont FC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.92

473

430

1.78

0.10

0.12

0.62

153

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penybont FC vs Caernarfon on 13 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penybont FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Penybont FC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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