Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 16

Penybont FC

D L L W W

8th place in League

3 - 2

16/09/2023 09:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penybont FC vs Caernarfon on September 16, 2023 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penybont FC vs Caernarfon preview before placing for you.

Penybont FC are currently 8th with 25 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 16/09/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

07/01/2023 08:45

Pen-y-Bont FC

5 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

05/11/2022 10:30

Caernarfon

0 - 2

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

15/04/2022 09:30

Caernarfon

1 - 0

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

05/03/2022 10:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

0 - 3

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

04/12/2021 10:30

Caernarfon

1 - 2

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

16/10/2021 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

0 - 0

Caernarfon

WALC

Penybont FC

Draw

Caernarfon

Penybont FC Last 6 matches

02/09/2023 09:30

Bala Town F.C. 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 0 - 0 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

25/08/2023 14:45

Pontypridd 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 2 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

12/08/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC 1 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

04/08/2023 14:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 1 - 1 Afan Lido WAL CLC

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

01/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

26/08/2023 09:30

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

13/08/2023 12:15

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon Welsh PR

04/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Porthmadog WAL CLC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

408

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

302

Avg. per game

1.23

Scored

395

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

424

Avg. per game

1.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 246 matches

YesNo

181 (74%)65 (26%)

In last 246 matches

NoYes

188 (78%)53 (22%)

Penybont FC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penybont FC

Caernarfon

Shots

Penybont FC

Total shots

10.20 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Penybont FC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penybont FC

246

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.24

4.74

1167

Corners

1044

4.33

0.14

Throw-ins

0.12

0.11

Offsides

0.12

0.96

237

GK saves

379

1.57

Penybont FC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.92

473

430

1.78

0.10

0.12

0.62

153

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penybont FC vs Caernarfon on 16 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penybont FC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penybont FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Penybont FC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Welsh Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Welsh Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less