Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 16

Penafiel

L L D W L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

3 - 0

16/04/2023 10:30

Nacional da Madeira

D D W L W

14th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira on April 16, 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira preview before placing for you.

Penafiel are currently 13th with 39 points after 34 matches.
Nacional da Madeira sit 14th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional da Madeira, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Moreirense	79	34	24	7	3	77	38	39
02 SC Farense	69	34	21	6	7	57	34	23
03 Estrela da Amadora	63	34	16	15	3	55	35	20
04 Viseu	53	34	14	11	9	51	45	6
05 Porto B	51	34	14	9	11	48	40	8
06 CD Mafra	47	34	12	11	11	46	49	-3
07 Vilafranquense	46	34	12	10	12	42	36	6
08 Feirense	46	34	11	13	10	43	37	6
09 SCU Torreense	44	34	13	5	16	38	41	-3
10 Oliveirense	43	34	11	10	13	51	50	1
11 CD Tondela	40	34	8	16	10	35	35	0
12 Leixoes	39	34	10	9	15	38	49	-11
13 Penafiel	39	34	9	12	13	36	47	-11
14 Nacional da Madeira	39	34	10	9	15	35	46	-11
15 SL Benfica B	38	34	10	8	16	52	58	-6
16 Belenenses	35	34	9	8	17	41	59	-18
17 Clube Desportivo Trofense	32	34	8	8	18	31	51	-20
18 SC Covilha	28	34	7	7	20	31	57	-26

Head To Head

29/10/2022 07:45

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

13/02/2022 07:00

Nacional da Madeira

3 - 0

Penafiel

POR D2

12/09/2021 06:00

Penafiel

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/02/2020 11:00

Penafiel

1 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

21/09/2019 11:00

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

14/01/2018 11:00

Penafiel

0 - 3

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

Penafiel

17%

Draw

33%

Nacional da Madeira

50%

Penafiel Last 6 matches

08/04/2023 10:30

Feirense 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

03/04/2023 13:00

Penafiel 1 - 2 Porto B POR D2

19/03/2023 10:00

Penafiel 1 - 1 Vilafranquense POR D2

10/03/2023 14:00

Moreirense 3 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

04/03/2023 07:00

Penafiel 1 - 1 Oliveirense POR D2

24/02/2023 14:00

Clube Desportivo Trofense 1 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Nacional da Madeira

07/04/2023 06:00

Nacional da Madeira 0 - 3 Oliveirense POR D2

02/04/2023 10:30

Vilafranquense 4 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

18/03/2023 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 0 - 2 Moreirense POR D2

11/03/2023 10:00

Clube Desportivo Trofense 2 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

05/03/2023 10:00

Nacional da Madeira 2 - 0 SC Covilha POR D2

26/02/2023 10:00

Belenenses 0 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored

329

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

169 (70%)73 (30%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

182 (70%)78 (30%)

Penafiel

Recent matches

Nacional da Madeira

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penafiel

Nacional da Madeira

Shots

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

323 total

Avg. 3.08

Penafiel Pass Nacional da Madeira

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

33435

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penafiel

242

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

260

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.25

4.67

1129

Corners

1154

4.44

2.82

682

Throw-ins

2008

7.72

0.57

137

Offsides

226

0.87

1.67

403

GK saves

592

2.28

Penafiel

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional da Madeira

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

597

623

2.40

0.11

0.14

10.28

2487

Fouls

2776

10.68

0.00

Tackles

1341

5.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira on 16 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional da Madeira's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Nacional da Madeira sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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