Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 02

Penafiel

W D W L L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

1 - 4

02/10/2023 13:00

Nacional da Madeira

D W W W W

2nd place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira on October 02, 2023 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira preview before placing for you.

Penafiel are currently 13th with 39 points after 34 matches.
Nacional da Madeira sit 2nd with 71 points from 34 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Penafiel, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional da Madeira have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 02/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Santa Clara	73	34	21	10	3	48	19	29
02 Nacional da Madeira	71	34	21	8	5	66	35	31
03 AVS Futebol SAD	64	34	20	4	10	50	34	16
04 Maritimo	64	34	18	10	6	52	29	23
05 Pacos de Ferreira	52	34	14	10	10	42	35	7
06 CD Tondela	49	34	12	13	9	46	43	3
07 SCU Torreense	48	34	13	9	12	40	37	3
08 SL Benfica B	45	34	12	9	13	48	48	0
09 CD Mafra	44	34	11	11	12	40	42	-2
10 Porto B	44	34	12	8	14	51	51	0
11 Viseu	43	34	9	16	9	36	38	-2
12 Uniao Leiria	42	34	11	9	14	44	40	4
13 Penafiel	39	34	11	6	17	31	39	-8
14 Leixoes	37	34	7	16	11	29	38	-9
15 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	37	54	-17
16 Feirense	31	34	8	7	19	31	49	-18
17 Vilaverdense	28	34	8	4	22	30	59	-29
18 CF Os Belenenses	26	34	6	8	20	28	59	-31

Head To Head

22/07/2023 10:30

Nacional da Madeira

0 - 0

Penafiel

PORLC

16/04/2023 10:30

Penafiel

3 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/10/2022 07:45

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 1

Penafiel

POR D2

13/02/2022 07:00

Nacional da Madeira

3 - 0

Penafiel

POR D2

12/09/2021 06:00

Penafiel

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

29/02/2020 11:00

Penafiel

1 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

Penafiel

33%

Draw

50%

Nacional da Madeira

17%

Penafiel Last 6 matches

24/09/2023 10:00

Valadares Gaia FC 1 - 1 Penafiel POR CN

16/09/2023 10:30

Santa Clara 0 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

02/09/2023 10:30

Penafiel 0 - 0 Viseu POR D2

27/08/2023 06:00

Oliveirense 3 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

20/08/2023 15:30

Feirense 2 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

13/08/2023 09:00

Penafiel 3 - 0 Leixoes POR D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Nacional da Madeira

29/09/2023 21:30

Gorilas de Juanacatlán 6 - 0 Nacional da Madeira MEX LT

28/09/2023 15:15

Casa Pia AC 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira PORLC

23/09/2023 10:00

Portosantense 2 - 4 Nacional da Madeira POR CN

16/09/2023 09:00

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 0 Feirense POR D2

03/09/2023 10:30

Vilaverdense 1 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR D2

28/08/2023 13:00

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 1 Leixoes POR D2

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored

329

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

169 (70%)73 (30%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

182 (70%)78 (30%)

Penafiel

Recent matches

Nacional da Madeira

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penafiel

Nacional da Madeira

Shots

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

323 total

Avg. 3.08

Penafiel Pass Nacional da Madeira

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

33435

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penafiel

242

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

260

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.25

4.67

1129

Corners

1154

4.44

2.82

682

Throw-ins

2008

7.72

0.57

137

Offsides

226

0.87

1.67

403

GK saves

592

2.28

Penafiel

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional da Madeira

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

597

623

2.40

0.11

0.14

10.28

2487

Fouls

2776

10.68

0.00

Tackles

1341

5.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira on 02 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Nacional da Madeira Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional da Madeira's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Nacional da Madeira sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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