Padova vs Modena: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Betiball's prediction for Padova vs Modena on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 12:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Padova vs Modena preview before placing your bet.

Padova vs Modena: Starting Lineups Time : 11/01/2026 12:15

Padova
2 - 0
Finished
Modena
90+3' event Kevin Lasagna Goal awarded
90+1' event Kevin Lasagna
88' event Carlo Faedo / Paolo Ghiglione
85' event Paolo Ghiglione
79' event Lorenzo Crisetig / Jonas Harder
78' event Alexander Seghetti / Alejandro Gomez
78' event Kevin Lasagna / Mattia Bortolussi
68' event Lorenzo Villa / Francesco Belli
57' event Francesco Belli
26' event Marco Perrotta
11' event Mattia Bortolussi
event 78' Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes / Ettore Gliozzi
event 78' Niklas Pyyhtia / Simone Santoro
event 65' Gady Beyuku / Luca Zanimacchia
event 65' Alessandro Dellavalle / Davide Adorni
event 62' Manuel De Luca / Francesco Di Mariano
event 34' Davide Adorni
90+3' event Kevin Lasagna Goal awarded
event 78' Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes / Ettore Gliozzi
90+1' event Kevin Lasagna
event 78' Niklas Pyyhtia / Simone Santoro
88' event Carlo Faedo / Paolo Ghiglione
event 65' Gady Beyuku / Luca Zanimacchia
85' event Paolo Ghiglione
event 65' Alessandro Dellavalle / Davide Adorni
79' event Lorenzo Crisetig / Jonas Harder
event 62' Manuel De Luca / Francesco Di Mariano
78' event Alexander Seghetti / Alejandro Gomez
event 34' Davide Adorni
78' event Kevin Lasagna / Mattia Bortolussi
68' event Lorenzo Villa / Francesco Belli
57' event Francesco Belli
26' event Marco Perrotta
11' event Mattia Bortolussi
Padova Padova
Substitutions
#33 Daniele Baselli
#92 Cristian Buonaiuto
#6 Lorenzo Crisetig
#23 Luca Di Maggio
#72 Carlo Faedo
#14 Mattia Fortin
#15 Kevin Lasagna
#1 Louis Mouquet
#58 Christian Pastina
#11 Alexander Seghetti
#41 Jonathan Silva
#55 Lorenzo Villa
Padova Padova Modena Modena
9Shots34
6Shots on Goal5
11Fouls13
3Corner Kick12
13Free kick11
3Offside3
3Yellow card1
6Save4
14Successful Tackles7
12Interceptions3
18Long pass38
0Successful center12
3Shots off goal29
0Hit The Post3
14Tackle7
4Dribbles8
18Throw-in23
285Passes492
68Attacks144
26Dangerous attacks83
0Corner Kicks(HT)8
2BigChances6
0BigChancesMissed6
4ShotsInsideBox19
4ShotsOutsideBox13
48DuelsWon49
1.21ExpectedGoals2.06
1.16xGOpenPlay0.9
0.04xGSetPlay1.16
1.21xGNonPenalty2.06
1.93xGOT0.71
10Touches In Opposition Box50
8AccurateCrosses42
36GroundDuelsWon29
12AerialDuelsWon20
42Clearances11
Modena Modena
Substitutions
#78 Fabrizio Bagheria
#2 Gady Beyuku
#33 Cristian Cauz
#29 Matteo Cotali
#25 Alessandro Dellavalle
#99 Manuel De Luca
#6 Luca Magnino
#11 Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
#19 Steven Folly Nador
#22 Michele Pezzolato
#18 Niklas Pyyhtia
Commentary
90+3' VAR review - Padova
90+1' Goal! Kevin Lasagna - Padova
88' Padova — substitution: Carlo Faedo / Paolo Ghiglione
85' Paolo Ghiglione - Padova receive a yellow card
79' Padova — substitution: Lorenzo Crisetig / Jonas Harder
78' Padova — substitution: Alexander Seghetti / Alejandro Gomez
78' Padova — substitution: Kevin Lasagna / Mattia Bortolussi
78' Modena — substitution: Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes / Ettore Gliozzi
78' Modena — substitution: Niklas Pyyhtia / Simone Santoro
68' Padova — substitution: Lorenzo Villa / Francesco Belli
65' Modena — substitution: Gady Beyuku / Luca Zanimacchia
65' Modena — substitution: Alessandro Dellavalle / Davide Adorni
62' Modena — substitution: Manuel De Luca / Francesco Di Mariano
57' Francesco Belli - Padova receive a yellow card
34' Davide Adorni - Modena receive a yellow card
26' Marco Perrotta - Padova receive a yellow card
11' Goal! Mattia Bortolussi - Padova

How We Build the Padova vs Modena Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Padova vs Modena on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Padova vs Modena Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Padova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Modena's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Padova and Modena sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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