Padova vs Modena: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Padova
LWWLW
9th place in Italian Serie B
2
2-0
FT
11/01/2026 09:15
Modena
DDLLW
6th place in Italian Serie B
Italian Serie B
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Padova vs Modena on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 09:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Padova vs Modena preview before placing your bet.

  • Padova are currently 9th with 46 points after 38 matches.
  • Modena sit 6th with 55 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Modena to win with probability 46%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Padova and Modena have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:15

2026-01-11

Padova vs Modena - Prediction & Odds

Padova
Padova
Modena
Modena
2026-01-11 09:15
25
29
46
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
1.95
FT
2-0 1-0
-
weather
3℃～4℃
STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Venezia Venezia
82 38 24 10 4 77 31 46
02 Frosinone Frosinone
81 38 23 12 3 76 34 42
03 Monza Monza
76 38 22 10 6 61 32 29
04 Palermo Palermo
72 38 20 12 6 61 33 28
05 Catanzaro Catanzaro
59 38 15 14 9 62 51 11
06 Modena Modena
55 38 15 10 13 49 36 13
07 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
51 38 11 18 9 44 45 -1
08 Avellino Avellino
49 38 13 10 15 43 55 -12
09 Padova Padova
46 38 12 10 16 39 49 -10
10 Cesena Cesena
46 38 12 10 16 45 56 -11
11 Mantova Mantova
46 38 13 7 18 45 57 -12
12 Carrarese Carrarese
44 38 10 14 14 47 52 -5
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria
44 38 11 11 16 35 48 -13
14 ACD Virtus Entella ACD Virtus Entella
42 38 10 12 16 36 51 -15
15 Empoli Empoli
41 38 9 14 15 47 54 -7
16 SudTirol SudTirol
41 38 8 17 13 38 48 -10
17 Bari Bari
40 38 10 10 18 38 60 -22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919 A.C. Reggiana 1919
37 38 9 10 19 36 56 -20
19 Pescara Pescara
35 38 7 14 17 51 66 -15
20 Spezia Spezia
35 38 8 11 19 43 59 -16
Head To Head
18/04/2021 08:30
Modena Modena
3 - 0
Padova Padova
ITA SC
23/12/2020 09:30
Padova Padova
0 - 1
Modena Modena
ITA SC
19/01/2020 07:00
Padova Padova
0 - 1
Modena Modena
ITA SC
09/09/2019 11:45
Modena Modena
0 - 1
Padova Padova
ITA SC
19/03/2017 08:45
Modena Modena
0 - 1
Padova Padova
ITA SC
29/10/2016 09:30
Padova Padova
1 - 0
Modena Modena
ITA SC
Padova
3
50%
Draw
0
0%
Modena
3
50%
Padova Padova Last 6 matches
27/12/2025 09:15
Palermo 1 - 0 Padova ITA D2
20/12/2025 07:00
Padova 1 - 1 Sampdoria ITA D2
13/12/2025 07:00
A.C. Reggiana 1919 1 - 2 Padova ITA D2
08/12/2025 07:00
Padova 1 - 1 Cesena ITA D2
29/11/2025 07:00
Pescara 0 - 1 Padova ITA D2
22/11/2025 09:15
Padova 0 - 2 Venezia ITA D2
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Modena Modena
26/12/2025 09:15
Modena 1 - 2 Monza ITA D2
20/12/2025 07:00
Modena 1 - 2 Venezia ITA D2
13/12/2025 07:00
Spezia 0 - 2 Modena ITA D2
08/12/2025 04:30
Modena 1 - 2 Catanzaro ITA D2
28/11/2025 12:30
Cesena 1 - 0 Modena ITA D2
23/11/2025 07:00
Modena 0 - 0 SudTirol ITA D2
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Padova
Padova
289
 Modena
Modena
260
Goals
Scored
182
Avg. per game
0.63
Conceded
123
Avg. per game
0.43
Scored
185
Avg. per game
0.71
Conceded
132
Avg. per game
0.51
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 289 matches
YesNo
139 (48%)150 (52%)
In last 289 matches
NoYes
131 (50%)129 (50%)
Padova

Padova

Recent matches

Modena

Modena

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Padova Padova
Modena Modena
Shots
Padova
Padova
Total shots
10.66 avg / game
Blocked
121 total
Avg. 3.27
Modena
Modena
Total shots
12.19 avg / game
Blocked
288 total
Avg. 3.31
Padova Padova Pass Modena Modena
Total passes
14932
Avg. 393 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
60761
Avg. 389 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Padova
Padova
26795
Avg. 92.72 / game
 Modena
Modena
23096
Avg. 88.83 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Padova
Padova
16497
Avg. 57.08 / game
 Modena
Modena
12867
Avg. 49.49 / game
OTHERS
Padova
Padova
289
Played games
Modena
Modena
260
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.40
117
Clean sheets
92
0.35
4.72
1364
Corners
1298
4.99
2.47
713
Throw-ins
2116
8.14
0.27
77
Offsides
233
0.90
0.49
142
GK saves
435
1.67
Padova
Padova
DISCIPLINARY
Modena
Modena
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.10
608
Yellow card
551
2.12
0.10
29
Red card
24
0.09
2.17
628
Fouls
2235
8.60
1.35
390
Tackles
1734
6.67
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How We Build the Padova vs Modena Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Padova vs Modena on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Padova vs Modena Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Padova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Modena's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Padova and Modena sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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