Padova vs Avellino: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Padova

L W W L W

9th place in Italian Serie B

2-2

30/09/2025 14:30

Avellino

L D W W L

8th place in Italian Serie B

Italian Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Padova vs Avellino on 30 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Padova vs Avellino preview before placing your bet.

Padova will face Avellino in Italian Serie B on September 30, 2025 at 14:30.
Padova are currently 9th with 46 points after 38 matches.
Avellino sit 8th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-09-30

Padova vs Avellino - Prediction & Odds

Padova

Avellino

2025-09-30 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Venezia	82	38	24	10	4	77	31	46
02 Frosinone	81	38	23	12	3	76	34	42
03 Monza	76	38	22	10	6	61	32	29
04 Palermo	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
05 Catanzaro	59	38	15	14	9	62	51	11
06 Modena	55	38	15	10	13	49	36	13
07 Juve Stabia	51	38	11	18	9	44	45	-1
08 Avellino	49	38	13	10	15	43	55	-12
09 Padova	46	38	12	10	16	39	49	-10
10 Cesena	46	38	12	10	16	45	56	-11
11 Mantova	46	38	13	7	18	45	57	-12
12 Carrarese	44	38	10	14	14	47	52	-5
13 Sampdoria	44	38	11	11	16	35	48	-13
14 ACD Virtus Entella	42	38	10	12	16	36	51	-15
15 Empoli	41	38	9	14	15	47	54	-7
16 SudTirol	41	38	8	17	13	38	48	-10
17 Bari	40	38	10	10	18	38	60	-22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919	37	38	9	10	19	36	56	-20
19 Pescara	35	38	7	14	17	51	66	-15
20 Spezia	35	38	8	11	19	43	59	-16

Head To Head

03/05/2025 13:00

Avellino

0 - 1

Padova

ITA C1

09/06/2021 11:35

Avellino

0 - 1

Padova

ITA C1

06/06/2021 14:45

Padova

1 - 1

Avellino

ITA C1

30/05/2014 14:30

Padova

2 - 1

Avellino

ITA D2

29/12/2013 10:00

Avellino

2 - 1

Padova

ITA D2

14/03/2005 15:30

Padova

3 - 2

Avellino

ITA C1

Avellino

50%

Draw

17%

Padova

33%

Padova Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 11:15

Monza 0 - 1 Padova

ITA D2

21/09/2025 13:30

Padova 2 - 1 ACD Virtus Entella

ITA D2

13/09/2025 09:00

Padova 0 - 1 Frosinone

ITA D2

31/08/2025 13:00

Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova

ITA D2

23/08/2025 13:00

Empoli 3 - 1 Padova

ITA D2

10/08/2025 13:30

Padova 0 - 2 Vicenza

ITA Cup

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Avellino

27/09/2025 09:00

Avellino 2 - 0 ACD Virtus Entella

ITA D2

21/09/2025 09:00

Carrarese 3 - 4 Avellino

ITA D2

12/09/2025 14:30

Avellino 2 - 1 Monza

ITA D2

31/08/2025 15:00

Modena 1 - 1 Avellino

ITA D2

24/08/2025 15:00

Frosinone 2 - 0 Avellino

ITA D2

10/08/2025 14:30

Audace Cerignola 1 - 0 Avellino

ITA Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Padova

Avellino

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

17 (44%)22 (56%)

Padova

Recent matches

Avellino

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)30 9(23%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)14 25(64%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)16 23(59%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)19 20(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Padova

Avellino

Shots

Padova

Total shots

11.16 avg / game

Blocked

118 total

Avg. 3.28

Avellino

Total shots

9.82 avg / game

Blocked

96 total

Avg. 2.59

Padova Pass Avellino

Total passes

14932

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

15932

Avg. 409 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Padova

Played games

Avellino

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.21

4.03

153

Corners

166

4.26

18.76

713

Throw-ins

746

19.13

1.74

Offsides

1.46

3.53

134

GK saves

111

2.85

Padova

DISCIPLINARY

Avellino

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

2.38

0.08

0.21

14.89

566

Fouls

563

14.44

10.26

390

Tackles

393

10.08

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Padova vs Avellino Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Padova vs Avellino on 30 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Padova vs Avellino Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Padova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Avellino's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Padova and Avellino sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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