Pachuca vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Betiball's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 17 September 2024 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pachuca vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Pachuca vs Toluca: Starting Lineups Time : 17/09/2024 21:00

Pachuca
2 - 2
Finished
Toluca
80' event Jorge Berlanga
74' event Carlos Sanchez Nava / Luis Alfonso Rodriguez Alanis
74' event Sergio De Los Rios / Sergio Adrian Hernandez
67' event Owen de Jesus Gonzalez
59' event Owen de Jesus Gonzalez / Faber Andres Gil Mosquera
57' event Sergio Adrian Hernandez
53' event Oussama Idrissi / Alan Bautista
41' event Jorge Berlanga
event 90+1' Frankie Amaya
event 90' Isaias Violante
event 79' Anderson Duarte
event 66' Isaias Violante / Juan Pablo Dominguez Chonteco
event 64' Yellow card
event 62' Anderson Duarte / Jesus Angulo
event 61' Frankie Amaya / Victor Arteaga
event 54' Victor Arteaga
event 45+2' Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
event 37' Claudio Baeza
80' event Jorge Berlanga
event 90+1' Frankie Amaya
74' event Carlos Sanchez Nava / Luis Alfonso Rodriguez Alanis
event 90' Isaias Violante
74' event Sergio De Los Rios / Sergio Adrian Hernandez
event 79' Anderson Duarte
67' event Owen de Jesus Gonzalez
event 66' Isaias Violante / Juan Pablo Dominguez Chonteco
59' event Owen de Jesus Gonzalez / Faber Andres Gil Mosquera
event 64' Yellow card
57' event Sergio Adrian Hernandez
event 62' Anderson Duarte / Jesus Angulo
53' event Oussama Idrissi / Alan Bautista
event 61' Frankie Amaya / Victor Arteaga
41' event Jorge Berlanga
event 54' Victor Arteaga
event 45+2' Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
event 37' Claudio Baeza
Pachuca Pachuca
Substitutions
#3 Daniel Aceves
#9 Borja Gonzalez Tomas
#191 Sergio De Los Rios
#31 Jose Eulogio
#27 Owen de Jesus Gonzalez
#11 Oussama Idrissi
#10 Angel Israel Mena Delgado
#33 Andres Micolta
#5 Pedro Pedraza
#32 Carlos Sanchez Nava
Pachuca Pachuca Toluca Toluca
14Shots13
8Shots on Goal4
13Fouls8
6Corner Kick7
9Free kick14
4Offside2
2Yellow card5
1Red card0
2Save6
14Interceptions8
29Long pass48
6Shots off goal9
11Tackle18
13Dribbles9
16Throw-in28
345Passes483
114Attacks100
43Dangerous attacks42
3Corner Kicks(HT)4
Toluca Toluca
Substitutions
#24 Frankie Amaya
#217 Klever Castillo
#30 Anderson Duarte
#22 Luis Manuel Garcia Palomera
#15 Helio Junio
#19 Edgar Ivan Lopez Rodriguez
#31 Robert Morales
#8 Carlos Orrantia Trevino
#3 Jesus Fernando Pinuelas Sandoval
#190 Isaias Violante
Commentary
90+1' Frankie Amaya - Toluca receive a yellow card
90' Isaias Violante - Toluca receive a yellow card
80' Jorge Berlanga - Pachuca receive second yellow card
79' Goal! Anderson Duarte - Toluca
74' Pachuca — substitution: Carlos Sanchez Nava / Luis Alfonso Rodriguez Alanis
74' Pachuca — substitution: Sergio De Los Rios / Sergio Adrian Hernandez
67' Goal! Owen de Jesus Gonzalez - Pachuca
66' Toluca — substitution: Isaias Violante / Juan Pablo Dominguez Chonteco
64' Yellow card - Toluca receive a yellow card
62' Toluca — substitution: Anderson Duarte / Jesus Angulo
61' Toluca — substitution: Frankie Amaya / Victor Arteaga
59' Pachuca — substitution: Owen de Jesus Gonzalez / Faber Andres Gil Mosquera
57' Goal! Sergio Adrian Hernandez - Pachuca
54' Victor Arteaga - Toluca receive a yellow card
53' Pachuca — substitution: Oussama Idrissi / Alan Bautista
45+2' Penalty scored! Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas - Toluca
41' Jorge Berlanga - Pachuca receive a yellow card
37' Claudio Baeza - Toluca receive a yellow card

How We Build the Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 17 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pachuca vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pachuca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Pachuca and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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