Pachuca vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Pachuca

W L W W D

8th place in Autumn

2-2

17/09/2024 21:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 17 September 2024 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pachuca vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Pachuca are currently 8th with 28 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Pachuca and Toluca have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2024-09-17

Pachuca vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Pachuca

Toluca

2024-09-17 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

30/03/2024 21:00

Pachuca

2 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

03/09/2023 14:00

Toluca

5 - 0

Pachuca

MEX D1

19/02/2023 23:05

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/10/2022 21:35

Pachuca

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

27/10/2022 21:05

Toluca

1 - 5

Pachuca

MEX D1

28/08/2022 13:00

Toluca

1 - 4

Pachuca

MEX D1

Pachuca

50%

Draw

Toluca

50%

Pachuca Last 6 matches

13/09/2024 21:00

Atlas 2 - 0 Pachuca MEX D1

31/08/2024 19:00

Pachuca 1 - 1 Queretaro FC MEX D1

23/08/2024 22:00

Mazatlan FC 3 - 0 Pachuca MEX D1

08/08/2024 21:00

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Pachuca NCAL Cup

04/08/2024 20:00

Pachuca 1 - 2 Toronto FC NCAL Cup

30/07/2024 20:00

Pachuca 1 - 1 New York Red Bulls NCAL Cup

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Toluca

14/09/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

31/08/2024 21:00

Monterrey 1 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

25/08/2024 14:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

13/08/2024 22:10

Toluca 1 - 2 Colorado Rapids NCAL Cup

09/08/2024 20:30

Toluca 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo NCAL Cup

05/08/2024 21:10

Toluca 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City NCAL Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored

260

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 282 matches

YesNo

150 (53%)132 (47%)

In last 282 matches

NoYes

164 (59%)113 (41%)

Pachuca

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pachuca

Toluca

Shots

Pachuca

Total shots

13.15 avg / game

Blocked

513 total

Avg. 3.49

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Pachuca Pass Toluca

Total passes

76965

Avg. 365 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pachuca

282

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.25

4.65

1311

Corners

1167

4.21

7.00

1974

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.45

410

Offsides

363

1.31

2.28

643

GK saves

677

2.44

Pachuca

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

516

512

1.85

0.13

0.10

10.20

2877

Fouls

2745

9.91

9.99

2816

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 17 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pachuca vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pachuca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Pachuca and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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