Norwich City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 April

Norwich City

W L W W D

9th place in England Championship

2-1

21/04/2026 14:45

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Norwich City vs Derby County on 21 April 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Norwich City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Norwich City are currently 9th with 65 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Norwich City to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Norwich City have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2026-04-21

Norwich City vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Norwich City

Derby County

2026-04-21 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 21/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

21/10/2025 14:45

Derby County

1 - 0

Norwich City

ENG LCH

08/02/2025 11:00

Norwich City

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

28/09/2024 07:30

Derby County

2 - 3

Norwich City

ENG LCH

10/04/2021 10:00

Derby County

0 - 1

Norwich City

ENG LCH

03/10/2020 07:30

Norwich City

0 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

29/12/2018 11:00

Norwich City

3 - 4

Derby County

ENG LCH

Norwich City

33%

Draw

17%

Derby County

50%

Norwich City Last 6 matches

18/04/2026 10:00

Bristol City 2 - 4 Norwich City ENG LCH

11/04/2026 07:30

Norwich City 0 - 2 Ipswich Town ENG LCH

06/04/2026 08:00

Millwall 1 - 2 Norwich City ENG LCH

03/04/2026 10:00

Norwich City 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG LCH

21/03/2026 11:00

Charlton Athletic 0 - 1 Norwich City ENG LCH

18/03/2026 15:45

Southampton 1 - 0 Norwich City ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

18/04/2026 07:30

Derby County 1 - 0 Oxford United ENG LCH

11/04/2026 10:00

Southampton 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

06/04/2026 10:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Stoke City ENG LCH

03/04/2026 15:00

Coventry City 3 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

21/03/2026 08:30

Derby County 1 - 0 Birmingham City ENG LCH

16/03/2026 16:00

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

423

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

413

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

409

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

348

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

217 (72%)83 (28%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

234 (78%)66 (22%)

Norwich City

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Norwich City

Derby County

Shots

Norwich City

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.63

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Norwich City Pass Derby County

Total passes

117993

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Norwich City

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.32

4.99

1498

Corners

1523

5.08

17.80

5339

Throw-ins

6324

21.08

1.60

481

Offsides

553

1.84

2.43

728

GK saves

682

2.27

Norwich City

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.62

486

528

1.76

0.04

0.05

8.94

2683

Fouls

2974

9.91

12.92

3875

Tackles

3651

12.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Norwich City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Norwich City vs Derby County on 21 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Norwich City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Norwich City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Norwich City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming England Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less