Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 October

Northern Ireland

D L W W L

1st place in Group C

5-0

15/10/2024 18:45

Bulgaria

D W D D D

2nd place in Group C

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria on 15 October 2024 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria preview before placing your bet.

Northern Ireland are currently 1st with 11 points after 6 matches.
Bulgaria sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Northern Ireland to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Bulgaria, who have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. Northern Ireland have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2024-10-15

Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria - Prediction & Odds

Northern Ireland

Bulgaria

2024-10-15 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2024

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Northern Ireland	11	6	3	2	1	11	3	8
02 Bulgaria	9	6	2	3	1	3	6	-3
03 Belarus	7	6	1	4	1	3	4	-1
04 Luxembourg	3	6	0	3	3	3	7	-4

Head To Head

08/09/2024 16:00

Bulgaria

1 - 0

Northern Ireland

UEFA NL

12/10/2021 18:45

Bulgaria

2 - 1

Northern Ireland

WCPEU

31/03/2021 18:45

Northern Ireland

0 - 0

Bulgaria

WCPEU

06/02/2008 19:45

Northern Ireland

0 - 1

Bulgaria

INT CF

Northern Ireland

Draw

25%

Bulgaria

75%

Northern Ireland Last 6 matches

12/10/2024 18:45

Belarus 0 - 0 Northern Ireland UEFA NL

08/09/2024 16:00

Bulgaria 1 - 0 Northern Ireland UEFA NL

05/09/2024 18:45

Northern Ireland 2 - 0 Luxembourg UEFA NL

11/06/2024 18:45

Northern Ireland 2 - 0 Andorra INT FRL

08/06/2024 19:30

Spain 5 - 1 Northern Ireland INT FRL

26/03/2024 19:45

Scotland 0 - 1 Northern Ireland INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bulgaria

12/10/2024 16:00

Bulgaria 0 - 0 Luxembourg UEFA NL

08/09/2024 16:00

Bulgaria 1 - 0 Northern Ireland UEFA NL

05/09/2024 18:45

Belarus 0 - 0 Bulgaria UEFA NL

08/06/2024 13:00

Slovenia 1 - 1 Bulgaria INT FRL

04/06/2024 18:30

Romania 0 - 0 Bulgaria INT FRL

25/03/2024 15:59

Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Bulgaria INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Northern Ireland

Bulgaria

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.17

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

Northern Ireland

Recent matches

Bulgaria

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(50%)4 4(50%)

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)2 6(75%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(25%)2 6(75%)

/Yes

(17%)1 5(83%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)3 5(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Northern Ireland

Bulgaria

Shots

Northern Ireland

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

8 total

Avg. 1.60

Bulgaria

Total shots

8.75 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 1.83

Northern Ireland Pass Bulgaria

Total passes

2267

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

3506

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Northern Ireland

Played games

Bulgaria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.67

Clean sheets

0.50

6.67

Corners

2.88

22.50

135

Throw-ins

169

21.13

1.17

Offsides

1.38

1.33

GK saves

2.00

Northern Ireland

DISCIPLINARY

Bulgaria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

3.38

0.00

0.13

14.67

Fouls

115

14.38

14.67

Tackles

114

14.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria on 15 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Northern Ireland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bulgaria's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Northern Ireland and Bulgaria sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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