North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 14

North Geelong Warriors

W D L L L

10th place in Victorian State League Division 1

1-0

14/02/2026 00:30

Melbourne Knights

L W W W W

1st place in Victorian State League Division 1

Victorian State League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights on February 14, 2026 (kick-off: 00:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights preview before placing for you.

North Geelong Warriors are currently 10th with 28 points after 22 matches.
Melbourne Knights sit 1st with 50 points from 23 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Knights to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Knights, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. North Geelong Warriors have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

00:30

2026-02-14

North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights - Prediction & Odds

North Geelong Warriors

Melbourne Knights

2026-02-14 00:30

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Melbourne Knights	50	23	16	2	5	46	19	27
02 Northcote City	46	23	14	4	5	41	24	17
03 Brunswick Juventus	46	23	15	1	7	44	30	14
04 Melbourne Victory FC (Youth)	40	23	12	4	7	52	35	17
05 FC Bulleen Lions	39	23	11	6	6	44	30	14
06 Eltham Redbacks	32	23	9	5	9	49	39	10
07 FC Melbourne Srbija	32	22	10	2	10	26	24	2
08 Brunswick City	30	23	9	3	11	45	47	-2
09 Manningham United Blues	30	23	9	3	11	38	47	-9
10 North Geelong Warriors	28	22	9	1	12	33	46	-13
11 Western United FC NPL	25	23	8	1	14	46	63	-17
12 Langwarrin	23	23	6	5	12	40	53	-13
13 North Sunshine Eagles	20	23	5	5	13	29	38	-9
14 Port Melbourne	16	23	4	4	15	13	51	-38

Head To Head

09/07/2023 01:00

North Geelong Warriors

0 - 3

Melbourne Knights

AUS VPL

10/04/2023 02:00

Melbourne Knights

3 - 2

North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

12/08/2017 01:00

North Geelong Warriors

1 - 4

Melbourne Knights

AUS VPL

05/05/2017 06:30

Melbourne Knights

1 - 1

North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

21/06/2015 01:00

Melbourne Knights

2 - 0

North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

07/03/2015 02:00

North Geelong Warriors

0 - 1

Melbourne Knights

AUS VPL

North Geelong Warriors

Draw

17%

Melbourne Knights

83%

North Geelong Warriors Last 6 matches

24/08/2025 01:00

North Geelong Warriors 3 - 2 Brunswick Juventus AUS VS L

16/08/2025 03:00

North Geelong Warriors 2 - 2 Springvale White Eagles AUS VS L

02/08/2025 04:00

Pascoe Vale SC 2 - 7 North Geelong Warriors AUS VS L

26/07/2025 03:00

North Geelong Warriors 2 - 1 Nunawading City AUS VS L

19/07/2025 02:50

North Geelong Warriors 4 - 1 Werribee City AUS VS L

05/07/2025 03:00

Eltham Redbacks 0 - 1 North Geelong Warriors AUS VS L

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Melbourne Knights

23/08/2025 01:00

Melbourne Knights 1 - 5 Altona Magic AUS VPL

16/08/2025 02:00

Dandenong City SC 7 - 1 Melbourne Knights AUS VPL

01/08/2025 05:30

Melbourne Knights 1 - 1 Hume City AUS VPL

26/07/2025 05:00

Dandenong Thunder 4 - 0 Melbourne Knights AUS VPL

18/07/2025 06:30

Preston Lions 3 - 0 Melbourne Knights AUS VPL

11/07/2025 05:30

Melbourne Knights 3 - 3 Oakleigh Cannons AUS VPL

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Victorian State League...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

North Geelong Warriors

Melbourne Knights

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.23

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 22 matches

YesNo

10 (45%)12 (55%)

In last 22 matches

NoYes

12 (52%)11 (48%)

North Geelong Warriors

Recent matches

Melbourne Knights

Under /Over

(91%)20 2(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)18 5(22%)

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)10 13(57%)

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)10 13(57%)

/Yes

(59%)13 9(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)10 13(57%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

North Geelong Warriors

Melbourne Knights

Shots

North Geelong Warriors

Total shots

10.38 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Melbourne Knights

Total shots

11.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

North Geelong Warriors Pass Melbourne Knights

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

North Geelong Warriors

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

North Geelong Warriors

OTHERS

North Geelong Warriors

Played games

Melbourne Knights

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.39

4.91

108

Corners

125

5.43

1.45

Throw-ins

1.43

0.14

Offsides

0.17

0.00

GK saves

0.00

North Geelong Warriors

DISCIPLINARY

Melbourne Knights

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.91

2.13

0.09

0.09

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

FC Melbourne Srbija

North Geelong Warriors

AUS

08/15

Brunswick City

North Geelong Warriors

AUS

08/22

North Geelong Warriors

Western United FC NPL

AUS

08/30

Langwarrin

North Geelong Warriors

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Victorian State League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Knights Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess North Geelong Warriors's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Melbourne Knights's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Victorian State League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Victorian State League Division 1 standings and the Victorian State League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where North Geelong Warriors and Melbourne Knights sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Victorian State League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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