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Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 11

Nocerina
DWWWL
No standing data
1
4-2
FT
11/05/2025 10:00
Citta di Fasano
WLLWW
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano on May 11, 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano preview before placing for you.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Nocerina to win with probability 56%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Citta di Fasano, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Nocerina have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2025-05-11

Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano - Prediction & Odds

Nocerina
Nocerina
Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
2025-05-11 10:00
56
25
19
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.25
1.60
FT
4-2 2-1
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Nocerina and Citta di Fasano in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
06/04/2025 09:30
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
3 - 1
Nocerina Nocerina
ITA S4
24/11/2024 09:30
Nocerina Nocerina
1 - 1
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
ITA S4
06/04/2023 10:00
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
2 - 3
Nocerina Nocerina
ITA S4
27/11/2022 09:30
Nocerina Nocerina
3 - 2
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
ITA S4
03/04/2022 09:00
Nocerina Nocerina
0 - 2
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
ITA S4
21/11/2021 09:30
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
6 - 1
Nocerina Nocerina
ITA S4
Nocerina
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Citta di Fasano
3
50%
Nocerina Nocerina Last 6 matches
04/05/2025 09:00
Matera 2 - 2 Nocerina ITA S4
27/04/2025 09:00
Nocerina 6 - 0 SS Angri ITA S4
17/04/2025 09:00
Francavilla 1 - 3 Nocerina ITA S4
13/04/2025 09:30
Nocerina 2 - 0 FB Brindisi 1912 ITA S4
06/04/2025 09:30
Citta di Fasano 3 - 1 Nocerina ITA S4
30/03/2025 09:30
Nocerina 3 - 1 Palmese 1914 ITA S4
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
04/05/2025 09:00
Citta di Fasano 4 - 2 Nardo ITA S4
27/04/2025 09:00
FC Francavilla 2 - 0 Citta di Fasano ITA S4
17/04/2025 09:00
Citta di Fasano 0 - 2 ASD Ugento ITA S4
13/04/2025 09:00
SS Angri 2 - 3 Citta di Fasano ITA S4
06/04/2025 09:30
Citta di Fasano 3 - 1 Nocerina ITA S4
30/03/2025 10:00
Francavilla 1 - 1 Citta di Fasano ITA S4
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Nocerina
Nocerina
36
 Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
35
Goals
Scored
33
Avg. per game
0.92
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.53
Scored
29
Avg. per game
0.83
Conceded
24
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 36 matches
YesNo
24 (67%)12 (33%)
In last 36 matches
NoYes
20 (57%)15 (43%)
Nocerina

Nocerina

Recent matches

Citta di Fasano

Citta di Fasano

Under /Over

(83%)30 6(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)25 10(29%)

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)9 26(74%)

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)15 20(57%)

/Yes

(61%)22 14(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)18 17(49%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Nocerina Nocerina
Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
Shots
Nocerina
Nocerina
Total shots
10.17 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
Total shots
11.38 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Nocerina Nocerina Pass Citta di Fasano Citta di Fasano
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Nocerina
Nocerina
1719
Avg. 47.75 / game
 Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
1996
Avg. 57.03 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Nocerina
Nocerina
1164
Avg. 32.33 / game
 Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
1189
Avg. 33.97 / game
OTHERS
Nocerina
Nocerina
36
Played games
Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
35
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.39
14
Clean sheets
11
0.31
3.42
123
Corners
108
3.09
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.86
31
Offsides
11
0.31
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Nocerina
Nocerina
DISCIPLINARY
Citta di Fasano
Citta di Fasano
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.36
49
Yellow card
53
1.51
0.11
4
Red card
3
0.09
3.78
136
Fouls
87
2.49
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nocerina vs Citta di Fasano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nocerina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Citta di Fasano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Nocerina and Citta di Fasano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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