Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 27

Newtown AFC

W L L L L

4th place in North

4-2

27/09/2025 09:30

Denbigh Town

W W L D W

8th place in North

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town on September 27, 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town preview before placing for you.

Newtown AFC are currently 4th with 48 points after 30 matches.
Denbigh Town sit 8th with 40 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newtown AFC to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Newtown AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Denbigh Town have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-09-27

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town - Prediction & Odds

Newtown AFC

Denbigh Town

2025-09-27 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

16/07/2016 09:30

Newtown AFC

3 - 2

Denbigh Town

INT CF

Newtown AFC

100%

Draw

Denbigh Town

Newtown AFC Last 6 matches

13/09/2025 09:30

Rhyl FC 2 - 5 Newtown AFC WAL FAWC

10/09/2025 14:45

Newtown AFC 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C. WAL CLC

06/09/2025 09:30

Llandudno 2 - 0 Newtown AFC WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Newtown AFC 2 - 1 Caersws WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 15:00

Airbus UK Broughton 2 - 2 Newtown AFC WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Newtown AFC 3 - 1 Flint Mountain WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Denbigh Town

16/09/2025 14:45

Llandudno 3 - 1 Denbigh Town WAL CLC

12/09/2025 14:45

Denbigh Town 5 - 1 Flint Mountain WAL FAWC

05/09/2025 14:45

Denbigh Town 1 - 1 Buckley Town WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Penrhyncoch 1 - 1 Denbigh Town WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Denbigh Town 3 - 1 Mold Alexandra WAL FAWC

15/08/2025 15:00

Gresford 0 - 5 Denbigh Town WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

369

Avg. per game

1.61

Conceded

369

Avg. per game

1.61

Scored

237

Avg. per game

2.10

Conceded

234

Avg. per game

2.07

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 229 matches

YesNo

167 (73%)62 (27%)

In last 229 matches

NoYes

95 (84%)18 (16%)

Newtown AFC

Recent matches

Denbigh Town

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newtown AFC

Denbigh Town

Shots

Newtown AFC

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Denbigh Town

Total shots

14.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Newtown AFC Pass Denbigh Town

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newtown AFC

229

Played games

Denbigh Town

113

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.12

4.41

1011

Corners

402

3.56

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.17

Offsides

0.60

1.43

327

GK saves

0.00

Newtown AFC

DISCIPLINARY

Denbigh Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

432

126

1.12

0.10

0.07

0.96

219

Fouls

176

1.56

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newtown AFC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Denbigh Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Newtown AFC and Denbigh Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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