Newport City vs Caerau Ely Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 09

Newport City

L L L W L

10th place in South

1-1

09/01/2026 15:30

Caerau Ely

W W D W W

4th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newport City vs Caerau Ely on January 09, 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newport City vs Caerau Ely preview before placing for you.

Newport City are currently 10th with 37 points after 30 matches.
Caerau Ely sit 4th with 57 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caerau Ely to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Newport City, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Caerau Ely have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-01-09

Newport City vs Caerau Ely - Prediction & Odds

Newport City

Caerau Ely

2026-01-09 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/01/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

21/10/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely

4 - 3

Newport City

WAL FAWC

20/12/2024 15:30

Newport City

3 - 1

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

16/08/2024 14:30

Caerau Ely

1 - 2

Newport City

WAL FAWC

Newport City

67%

Draw

Caerau Ely

33%

Newport City Last 6 matches

27/12/2025 10:00

Newport City 2 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic WAL FAWC

13/12/2025 13:00

Trearddur Bay 5 - 3 Newport City WALC

10/12/2025 15:30

Newport City 2 - 1 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

05/12/2025 15:30

Newport City 0 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

29/11/2025 10:00

Treowen Stars 2 - 0 Newport City WAL FAWC

23/11/2025 10:00

Newport City 2 - 2 Blaenavon Blues WALC

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Caerau Ely

02/01/2026 15:00

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 10:00

Trefelin 3 - 0 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

20/12/2025 10:00

Caerau Ely 1 - 0 Aberystwyth Town WAL FAWC

13/12/2025 10:00

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Llandudno WALC

28/11/2025 15:30

Carmarthen 1 - 1 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

22/11/2025 10:00

Dolgellau Athletic 0 - 2 Caerau Ely WALC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Played games

Newport City

Caerau Ely

120

Goals

Scored

113

Avg. per game

1.43

Conceded

122

Avg. per game

1.54

Scored

261

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

1.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 79 matches

YesNo

57 (72%)22 (28%)

In last 79 matches

NoYes

102 (85%)18 (15%)

Newport City

Recent matches

Caerau Ely

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newport City

Caerau Ely

Shots

Newport City

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caerau Ely

Total shots

12.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Newport City Pass Caerau Ely

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newport City

Played games

Caerau Ely

120

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.27

4.81

380

Corners

571

4.76

0.13

Throw-ins

0.00

0.71

Offsides

0.45

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Newport City

DISCIPLINARY

Caerau Ely

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.72

136

141

1.18

0.04

0.08

2.82

223

Fouls

194

1.62

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newport City vs Caerau Ely Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newport City vs Caerau Ely on 09 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newport City vs Caerau Ely Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newport City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caerau Ely's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Newport City and Caerau Ely sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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