Newcastle United vs Southampton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 April

Newcastle United

W L D W D

4th place in English Premier League

3-1

30/04/2023 09:00

Southampton

L L L L L

20th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Southampton on 30 April 2023 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Southampton preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 4th with 71 points after 38 matches.
Southampton sit 20th with 25 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Southampton have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2023-04-30

Newcastle United vs Southampton - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Southampton

2023-04-30 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

31/01/2023 16:00

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Southampton

ENG LC

24/01/2023 16:00

Southampton

0 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG LC

06/11/2022 10:00

Southampton

1 - 4

Newcastle United

ENG PR

10/03/2022 15:30

Southampton

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

28/08/2021 10:00

Newcastle United

2 - 2

Southampton

ENG PR

06/02/2021 11:00

Newcastle United

3 - 2

Southampton

ENG PR

Newcastle United

83%

Draw

17%

Southampton

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

15/04/2023 07:30

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

08/04/2023 10:00

Brentford 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

05/04/2023 15:00

West Ham United 1 - 5 Newcastle United ENG PR

02/04/2023 11:30

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Manchester United ENG PR

17/03/2023 16:00

Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

12/03/2023 12:30

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Southampton

21/04/2023 15:00

Arsenal 3 - 3 Southampton ENG PR

15/04/2023 10:00

Southampton 0 - 2 Crystal Palace ENG PR

08/04/2023 12:30

Southampton 1 - 4 Manchester City ENG PR

02/04/2023 09:00

West Ham United 1 - 0 Southampton ENG PR

18/03/2023 11:00

Southampton 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

15/03/2023 15:30

Southampton 0 - 2 Brentford ENG PR

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

423

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

473

Avg. per game

1.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

237 (79%)63 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

230 (77%)70 (23%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Southampton

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Southampton

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Southampton

Total shots

12.48 avg / game

Blocked

941 total

Avg. 3.73

Newcastle United Pass Southampton

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

127154

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Southampton

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.21

5.37

1611

Corners

1631

5.44

16.86

5058

Throw-ins

4836

16.12

1.55

465

Offsides

461

1.54

2.85

855

GK saves

781

2.60

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Southampton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

494

553

1.84

0.04

0.05

9.48

2845

Fouls

2975

9.92

12.99

3896

Tackles

4011

13.37

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Southampton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Southampton on 30 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Southampton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Southampton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Southampton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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