Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

1-1

28/09/2024 07:30

Manchester City

W W W D W

3rd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Manchester City on 28 September 2024 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Manchester City preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 5th with 66 points after 38 matches.
Manchester City sit 3rd with 71 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester City, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Newcastle United have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2024-09-28

Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Manchester City

2024-09-28 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

16/03/2024 13:30

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG FAC

13/01/2024 13:30

Newcastle United

2 - 3

Manchester City

ENG PR

27/09/2023 15:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Manchester City

ENG LC

19/08/2023 15:00

Manchester City

1 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

04/03/2023 08:30

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

21/08/2022 11:30

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Manchester City

ENG PR

Newcastle United

17%

Draw

17%

Manchester City

67%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

21/09/2024 10:00

Fulham 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

15/09/2024 11:30

Wolves 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

01/09/2024 08:30

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

28/08/2024 15:00

Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG LC

25/08/2024 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

17/08/2024 10:00

Newcastle United 1 - 0 Southampton ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Manchester City

24/09/2024 14:45

Manchester City 2 - 1 Watford ENG LC

22/09/2024 11:30

Manchester City 2 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

18/09/2024 15:00

Manchester City 0 - 0 Inter Milan UEFA CL

14/09/2024 10:00

Manchester City 2 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

31/08/2024 12:30

West Ham United 1 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

24/08/2024 10:00

Manchester City 4 - 1 Ipswich Town ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Newcastle United

Manchester City

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (58%)16 (42%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Manchester City

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Manchester City

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.06

Manchester City

Total shots

15.97 avg / game

Blocked

162 total

Avg. 4.50

Newcastle United Pass Manchester City

Total passes

16950

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

22761

Avg. 599 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

62%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

Played games

Manchester City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.34

5.71

217

Corners

253

6.66

18.53

704

Throw-ins

602

15.84

1.89

Offsides

1.18

3.21

122

GK saves

2.32

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Manchester City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.79

1.55

0.03

0.05

10.37

394

Fouls

287

7.55

15.84

602

Tackles

480

12.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Manchester City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Manchester City on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Manchester City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Manchester City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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