Newcastle United vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Newcastle United

L W W D L

7th place in English Premier League

2-0

30/09/2023 10:00

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Burnley on 30 September 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 24 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-09-30

Newcastle United vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Burnley

2023-09-30 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

22/05/2022 11:00

Burnley

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

04/12/2021 11:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

25/08/2021 14:45

Newcastle United

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LC

11/04/2021 07:00

Burnley

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

03/10/2020 15:00

Newcastle United

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

29/02/2020 11:00

Newcastle United

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

Newcastle United

67%

Draw

33%

Burnley

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

19/09/2023 12:45

AC Milan 0 - 0 Newcastle United UEFA CL

16/09/2023 12:30

Newcastle United 1 - 0 Brentford ENG PR

02/09/2023 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

27/08/2023 11:30

Newcastle United 1 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

19/08/2023 15:00

Manchester City 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

12/08/2023 12:30

Newcastle United 5 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Burnley

18/09/2023 14:45

Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

02/09/2023 10:00

Burnley 2 - 5 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

30/08/2023 14:45

Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Burnley ENG LC

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

11/08/2023 15:00

Burnley 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

05/08/2023 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 Burnley INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

503

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

396

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

363

Avg. per game

1.23

Conceded

381

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

236 (79%)64 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

201 (68%)94 (32%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Burnley

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.06 avg / game

Blocked

966 total

Avg. 3.80

Burnley

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Newcastle United Pass Burnley

Total passes

113460

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Burnley

295

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.31

5.32

1596

Corners

1386

4.70

16.88

5065

Throw-ins

5108

17.32

1.55

465

Offsides

524

1.78

2.85

856

GK saves

820

2.78

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

499

471

1.60

0.05

0.06

9.50

2849

Fouls

2875

9.75

13.02

3905

Tackles

3720

12.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Burnley on 30 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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