Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 18

Newcastle United

W L D W D

4th place in English Premier League

4-1

18/05/2023 18:30

Brighton Hove Albion

L W L W D

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion on May 18, 2023 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing for you.

Newcastle United are currently 4th with 71 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 6th with 62 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Brighton Hove Albion, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Newcastle United have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2023-05-18

Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

2023-05-18 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

13/08/2022 14:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

05/03/2022 15:00

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

06/11/2021 17:30

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

20/03/2021 20:00

Brighton Hove Albion

3 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

20/09/2020 13:00

Newcastle United

0 - 3

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

20/07/2020 17:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

Newcastle United

17%

Draw

50%

Brighton Hove Albion

33%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

13/05/2023 11:30

Leeds United 2 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

07/05/2023 15:30

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

30/04/2023 13:00

Newcastle United 3 - 1 Southampton ENG PR

27/04/2023 18:45

Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle United ENG PR

23/04/2023 13:00

Newcastle United 6 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

15/04/2023 11:30

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

14/05/2023 15:30

Arsenal 0 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

08/05/2023 16:30

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 5 Everton ENG PR

04/05/2023 19:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 0 Manchester United ENG PR

29/04/2023 14:00

Brighton Hove Albion 6 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

26/04/2023 18:30

Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

23/04/2023 15:30

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 0 Manchester United ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

26 (68%)12 (32%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

/Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

15.03 avg / game

Blocked

160 total

Avg. 4.44

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

16.11 avg / game

Blocked

163 total

Avg. 4.41

Newcastle United Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

15822

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

20841

Avg. 548 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.32

7.11

270

Corners

233

6.13

19.16

728

Throw-ins

693

18.24

1.95

Offsides

1.84

2.61

GK saves

2.18

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

1.53

0.03

0.00

10.66

405

Fouls

426

11.21

16.05

610

Tackles

604

15.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion on 18 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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