Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Newcastle United

L W W D L

7th place in English Premier League

1-1

11/05/2024 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

L L W D L

11th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 11th with 48 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Brighton Hove Albion have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-05-11

Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

2024-05-11 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

02/09/2023 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion

3 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

28/07/2023 19:30

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 2

Newcastle United

INT CF

18/05/2023 14:30

Newcastle United

4 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

13/08/2022 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

05/03/2022 11:00

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

06/11/2021 13:30

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

Newcastle United

50%

Draw

33%

Brighton Hove Albion

17%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

27/04/2024 10:00

Newcastle United 5 - 1 Sheffield United ENG PR

24/04/2024 15:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

13/04/2024 07:30

Newcastle United 4 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

06/04/2024 10:00

Fulham 0 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

02/04/2024 14:30

Newcastle United 1 - 1 Everton ENG PR

30/03/2024 08:30

Newcastle United 4 - 3 West Ham United ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

28/04/2024 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 3 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

25/04/2024 15:00

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 4 Manchester City ENG PR

13/04/2024 10:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

06/04/2024 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 3 Arsenal ENG PR

03/04/2024 14:30

Brentford 0 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

31/03/2024 09:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.26

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

27 (71%)11 (29%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (58%)16 (42%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

/Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

153 total

Avg. 4.03

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

14.82 avg / game

Blocked

162 total

Avg. 4.50

Newcastle United Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

17965

Avg. 473 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

23201

Avg. 611 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.16

5.05

192

Corners

206

5.42

17.87

679

Throw-ins

543

14.29

1.55

Offsides

2.21

3.71

141

GK saves

109

2.87

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

2.37

0.03

0.08

10.16

386

Fouls

414

10.89

17.42

662

Tackles

640

16.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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