Newcastle United vs Benfica Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 21

Newcastle United

L W W L W

12th place in Group A

3-0

21/10/2025 15:00

Benfica

W D L W D

24th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Benfica on October 21, 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Benfica preview before placing for you.

Newcastle United are currently 12th with 14 points after 8 matches.
Benfica sit 24th with 9 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Newcastle United have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-10-21

Newcastle United vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Benfica

2025-10-21 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

26/07/2022 15:00

Benfica

3 - 2

Newcastle United

INT CF

11/04/2013 15:05

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Benfica

UEFA EL

04/04/2013 15:05

Benfica

3 - 1

Newcastle United

UEFA EL

Newcastle United

Draw

33%

Benfica

67%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

18/10/2025 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

05/10/2025 09:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

01/10/2025 12:45

Saint Gilloise 0 - 4 Newcastle United UEFA CL

28/09/2025 11:30

Newcastle United 1 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

24/09/2025 14:45

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Bradford City ENG LC

21/09/2025 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Benfica

17/10/2025 14:30

GD Chaves 0 - 2 Benfica POR CUP

05/10/2025 16:15

FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica POR D1

30/09/2025 15:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 Benfica UEFA CL

26/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 2 - 1 Gil Vicente POR D1

23/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1

20/09/2025 13:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Goals

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

654

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

272

Avg. per game

0.91

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

237 (79%)63 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

263 (88%)37 (12%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Benfica

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Newcastle United Pass Benfica

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Benfica

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

128

0.43

5.37

1611

Corners

1977

6.59

16.86

5058

Throw-ins

4638

15.46

1.55

465

Offsides

549

1.83

2.85

855

GK saves

683

2.28

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

494

567

1.89

0.04

0.07

9.48

2845

Fouls

3215

10.72

12.99

3896

Tackles

4200

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Benfica on 21 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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