Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – August 12

Newcastle United

L W W D L

7th place in English Premier League

5-1

12/08/2023 12:30

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa on August 12, 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Aston Villa preview before placing for you.

Newcastle United are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Newcastle United and Aston Villa have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2023-08-12

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Aston Villa

2023-08-12 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/08/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

23/07/2023 19:00

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Aston Villa

INT CF

15/04/2023 07:30

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

29/10/2022 10:00

Newcastle United

4 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

13/02/2022 10:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

21/08/2021 10:00

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

12/03/2021 16:00

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Newcastle United

33%

Draw

33%

Aston Villa

33%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

05/08/2023 10:30

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Fiorentina INT CF

28/07/2023 19:30

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 2 Newcastle United INT CF

26/07/2023 20:15

Newcastle United 1 - 1 Chelsea INT CF

23/07/2023 19:00

Newcastle United 3 - 3 Aston Villa INT CF

18/07/2023 14:50

Glasgow Rangers 1 - 2 Newcastle United INT CF

15/07/2023 07:30

Gateshead 2 - 3 Newcastle United INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

03/08/2023 14:30

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Lazio INT CF

30/07/2023 11:59

Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford INT CF

26/07/2023 20:20

Fulham 0 - 2 Aston Villa INT CF

23/07/2023 19:00

Newcastle United 3 - 3 Aston Villa INT CF

15/07/2023 08:10

Walsall 1 - 1 Aston Villa INT CF

28/05/2023 11:30

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

501

Avg. per game

1.67

Conceded

391

Avg. per game

1.30

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

237 (79%)63 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

245 (82%)55 (18%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Aston Villa

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.16 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.37

Newcastle United Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

113540

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

5.37

1611

Corners

1573

5.24

16.86

5058

Throw-ins

3923

13.08

1.55

465

Offsides

363

1.21

2.85

855

GK saves

782

2.61

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

494

539

1.80

0.04

0.06

9.48

2845

Fouls

2870

9.57

12.99

3896

Tackles

3578

11.93

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa on 12 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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