Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

3-0

26/12/2024 11:00

Aston Villa

W L W W W

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa on 26 December 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 5th with 66 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 6th with 66 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Aston Villa have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2024-12-26

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Aston Villa

2024-12-26 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

30/01/2024 16:15

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Newcastle United

ENG PR

12/08/2023 12:30

Newcastle United

5 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

23/07/2023 19:00

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Aston Villa

INT CF

15/04/2023 07:30

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

29/10/2022 10:00

Newcastle United

4 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

13/02/2022 10:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Newcastle United

67%

Draw

17%

Aston Villa

17%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

21/12/2024 11:00

Ipswich Town 0 - 4 Newcastle United ENG PR

18/12/2024 15:45

Newcastle United 3 - 1 Brentford ENG LC

14/12/2024 11:00

Newcastle United 4 - 0 Leicester City ENG PR

07/12/2024 11:00

Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

04/12/2024 15:30

Newcastle United 3 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

30/11/2024 11:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

21/12/2024 08:30

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

14/12/2024 13:30

Nottingham Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

10/12/2024 16:00

RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Aston Villa UEFA CL

07/12/2024 11:00

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton ENG PR

04/12/2024 16:15

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

01/12/2024 09:30

Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

392

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

237 (79%)63 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

245 (82%)55 (18%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Aston Villa

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

Newcastle United Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

5.37

1611

Corners

1565

5.22

16.86

5058

Throw-ins

3954

13.18

1.55

465

Offsides

365

1.22

2.85

855

GK saves

787

2.62

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

494

543

1.81

0.04

0.06

9.48

2845

Fouls

2881

9.60

12.99

3896

Tackles

3595

11.98

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa on 26 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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