Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

Newcastle United

L L W D W

12th place in English Premier League

1-2

28/09/2025 11:30

Arsenal

L W W W W

1st place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Arsenal on September 28, 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Arsenal preview before placing for you.

Newcastle United are currently 12th with 49 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 1st with 85 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Newcastle United and Arsenal have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2025-09-28

Newcastle United vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Arsenal

2025-09-28 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

27/07/2025 07:30

Arsenal

3 - 2

Newcastle United

INT CF

18/05/2025 11:30

Arsenal

1 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

05/02/2025 16:00

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Arsenal

ENG LC

07/01/2025 16:00

Arsenal

0 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG LC

02/11/2024 08:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

24/02/2024 16:00

Arsenal

4 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

Newcastle United

50%

Draw

Arsenal

50%

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

18/09/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 1 - 2 FC Barcelona UEFA CL

13/09/2025 10:00

Newcastle United 1 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

30/08/2025 12:30

Leeds United 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

25/08/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

16/08/2025 07:30

Aston Villa 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

16/09/2025 12:45

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 2 Arsenal UEFA CL

13/09/2025 07:30

Arsenal 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

31/08/2025 11:30

Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

23/08/2025 12:30

Arsenal 5 - 0 Leeds United ENG PR

17/08/2025 11:30

Manchester United 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

09/08/2025 12:00

Arsenal 3 - 0 Athletic Bilbao Emirates S

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

504

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

599

Avg. per game

2.00

Conceded

278

Avg. per game

0.93

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

237 (79%)63 (21%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

252 (84%)48 (16%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(76%)34 11(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Arsenal

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.08 avg / game

Blocked

970 total

Avg. 3.82

Arsenal

Total shots

14.73 avg / game

Blocked

1177 total

Avg. 4.56

Newcastle United Pass Arsenal

Total passes

113793

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

141540

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

300

Played games

Arsenal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

122

0.41

5.37

1611

Corners

1809

6.03

16.86

5058

Throw-ins

4590

15.30

1.55

465

Offsides

519

1.73

2.85

855

GK saves

626

2.09

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

494

460

1.53

0.04

0.05

9.48

2845

Fouls

2976

9.92

12.99

3896

Tackles

3689

12.30

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Arsenal on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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