Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 May

Nelson Suburbs
WLLWL
No standing data
2 - 3
FT
23/05/2026 20:00
Ferrymead Bays
DWWWW
No standing data
New Zealand South Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays on 23 May 2026 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays preview before placing your bet.

  • Head-to-head history favors Nelson Suburbs, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Ferrymead Bays have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 23/05/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Nelson Suburbs and Ferrymead Bays in the New Zealand South Premier League football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
20/06/2025 22:00
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
1 - 0
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
NZSL
14/06/2025 00:00
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
2 - 2
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
NZC
29/03/2025 19:30
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
4 - 1
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
NZSL
16/08/2024 22:00
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
2 - 3
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
NZSL
06/04/2023 19:30
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
1 - 1
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
NZSL
06/08/2022 20:00
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
3 - 2
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
NZSL
Nelson Suburbs
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
Ferrymead Bays
1
17%
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs Last 6 matches
15/05/2026 20:00
Christchurch United 1 - 3 Nelson Suburbs NZSL
02/05/2026 22:00
Nelson Suburbs 1 - 4 Nomads NZSL
26/04/2026 22:00
Cashmere Technical 6 - 0 Nelson Suburbs NZSL
18/04/2026 20:00
Nelson Suburbs 6 - 0 Selwyn United NZSL
11/04/2026 20:45
Northern AFC 2 - 1 Nelson Suburbs NZSL
04/04/2026 21:30
Nelson Suburbs 4 - 1 Dunedin City Royals NZSL
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
15/05/2026 22:45
Nomads 1 - 1 Ferrymead Bays NZSL
01/05/2026 22:45
Ferrymead Bays 3 - 0 Selwyn United NZSL
26/04/2026 20:45
Dunedin City Royals 0 - 3 Ferrymead Bays NZSL
18/04/2026 20:00
Coastal Spirit 1 - 2 Ferrymead Bays NZSL
10/04/2026 03:15
Ferrymead Bays 1 - 0 Christchurch United NZSL
02/04/2026 19:00
Cashmere Technical 5 - 0 Ferrymead Bays NZSL
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues New Zealand South Prem...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
16
 Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
17
Goals
Scored
28
Avg. per game
1.75
Conceded
16
Avg. per game
1.00
Scored
17
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 16 matches
YesNo
10 (63%)6 (38%)
In last 16 matches
NoYes
10 (59%)7 (41%)
Nelson Suburbs

Nelson Suburbs

Recent matches

Ferrymead Bays

Ferrymead Bays

Under /Over

(94%)15 1(6%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

Under /Over

(56%)9 7(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

/Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(35%)6 11(65%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
Shots
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
Total shots
15.20 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
Total shots
8.27 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs Pass Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
58%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
1177
Avg. 73.56 / game
 Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
1008
Avg. 59.29 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
1040
Avg. 65.00 / game
 Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
760
Avg. 44.71 / game
OTHERS
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
16
Played games
Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.25
4
Clean sheets
8
0.47
6.69
107
Corners
67
3.94
0.63
10
Throw-ins
35
2.06
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
DISCIPLINARY
Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.13
18
Yellow card
19
1.12
0.13
2
Red card
0
0.00
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
08/08
Nelson Suburbs Nelson Suburbs
VS
Christchurch United Christchurch United
FFS
NEXT MATCHES
08/07
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
VS
Nomads Nomads
FFS

How We Build the Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays on 23 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this New Zealand South Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nelson Suburbs's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ferrymead Bays's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

New Zealand South Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live New Zealand South Premier League standings and the New Zealand South Premier League form table to understand exactly where Nelson Suburbs and Ferrymead Bays sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our New Zealand South Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More New Zealand South Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming New Zealand South Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less