Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 April

Negelle Arsi

D D W D W

2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League

0-0

30/04/2026 08:00

Fasil Kenema

L L W W L

4th place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema on 30 April 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema preview before placing your bet.

Negelle Arsi will face Fasil Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League on April 30, 2026 at 08:00.
Negelle Arsi are currently 2nd with 60 points after 38 matches.
Fasil Kenema sit 4th with 55 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.20.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-04-30

Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema - Prediction & Odds

Negelle Arsi

Fasil Kenema

2026-04-30 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Negelle Arsi Last 6 matches

01/07/2026 19:00

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 3 - 0 Negelle Arsi

Ethiopia Premier League

26/06/2026 17:00

Negelle Arsi 2 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Premier League

20/06/2026 20:00

Sidama Bunna 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi

Ethiopia Premier League

15/06/2026 17:00

Negelle Arsi 2 - 1 Hawassa City FC

Ethiopia Premier League

04/06/2026 19:00

Wolaita Dicha 0 - 0 Negelle Arsi

Ethiopia Premier League

21/05/2026 22:00

Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Shire Endaselassie FC

Ethiopia Premier League

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Fasil Kenema

01/07/2026 22:00

Fasil Kenema 1 - 0 Ethiopian Insurance FC

Ethiopia Premier League

26/06/2026 19:00

Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Premier League

22/06/2026 19:00

Fasil Kenema 2 - 0 Arba Minch

Ethiopia Premier League

15/06/2026 22:00

Hadiya Hossana 0 - 1 Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Premier League

29/05/2026 22:00

Fasil Kenema 0 - 1 Sheger Ketema

Ethiopia Premier League

20/05/2026 19:00

Ethiopia Bunna 2 - 1 Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Premier League

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Negelle Arsi

Fasil Kenema

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

Avg. per game

0.42

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

16 (42%)22 (58%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

14 (37%)24 (63%)

Negelle Arsi

Recent matches

Fasil Kenema

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(8%)3 35(92%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

/Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(26%)10 28(74%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Negelle Arsi

Fasil Kenema

Shots

Negelle Arsi

Total shots

7.38 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Fasil Kenema

Total shots

7.69 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Negelle Arsi Pass Fasil Kenema

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Negelle Arsi

Played games

Fasil Kenema

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.55

3.29

125

Corners

102

2.68

2.84

108

Throw-ins

2.61

1.87

Offsides

1.26

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Negelle Arsi

DISCIPLINARY

Fasil Kenema

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

2.34

0.08

0.13

9.00

342

Fouls

320

8.42

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema on 30 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Kenema Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Negelle Arsi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fasil Kenema's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Negelle Arsi and Fasil Kenema sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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