Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Negelle Arsi
DDWDW
2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League
1
3-0
FT
11/05/2026 13:00
Dire Dawa
DLLWD
18th place in Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopia Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa on 11 May 2026 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa preview before placing your bet.

  • Negelle Arsi are currently 2nd with 60 points after 38 matches.
  • Dire Dawa sit 18th with 42 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Negelle Arsi to win with probability 50%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Negelle Arsi, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Dire Dawa have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
13:00

2026-05-11

Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa - Prediction & Odds

Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
2026-05-11 13:00
50
30
20
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
1.75
1.80
FT
3-0 2-0
-
weather
29°C
STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
68 38 19 11 8 43 23 20
02 Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
60 38 15 15 8 37 30 7
03 Defence Force FC Defence Force FC
57 38 14 15 9 44 31 13
04 Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
55 38 14 13 11 28 28 0
05 Ethio Electric FC Ethio Electric FC
54 38 13 15 10 32 26 6
06 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
54 38 14 12 12 33 31 2
07 Wolaita Dicha Wolaita Dicha
51 38 11 18 9 37 31 6
08 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
51 38 13 12 13 40 39 1
09 Hawassa City FC Hawassa City FC
50 38 12 14 12 37 33 4
10 Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
50 37 11 17 9 34 30 4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
48 38 9 21 8 28 28 0
12 Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
48 38 11 15 12 31 35 -4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
47 38 11 14 13 45 45 0
14 Adama City Adama City
46 38 10 16 12 35 39 -4
15 Welwalo Adigrat Welwalo Adigrat
46 38 10 16 12 32 36 -4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopian Insurance FC
43 37 9 16 12 29 31 -2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC Shire Endaselassie FC
42 38 9 15 14 24 32 -8
18 Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
42 38 9 15 14 26 42 -16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
40 38 8 16 14 28 37 -9
20 Arba Minch Arba Minch
35 38 7 14 17 30 46 -16
Head To Head
30/12/2025 10:00
Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
0 - 3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
ETH PR
Negelle Arsi
1
100%
Draw
0
0%
Dire Dawa
0
0%
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi Last 6 matches
06/05/2026 15:00
Welwalo Adigrat 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi ETH PR
30/04/2026 12:00
Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR
25/04/2026 12:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 2 Sidama Bunna Ethiopia C
19/04/2026 13:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Hadiya Hossana ETH PR
13/04/2026 10:00
Sheger Ketema 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi ETH PR
09/04/2026 10:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Ethiopian Insurance FC ETH PR
Win
17%
Draw
67%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
05/05/2026 12:00
Dire Dawa 0 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna ETH PR
29/04/2026 15:00
Adama City 1 - 1 Dire Dawa ETH PR
19/04/2026 12:00
Sidama Bunna 2 - 0 Dire Dawa ETH PR
15/04/2026 15:00
Dire Dawa 1 - 2 Defence Force FC ETH PR
08/04/2026 15:00
Shire Endaselassie FC 0 - 1 Dire Dawa ETH PR
03/04/2026 12:00
Dire Dawa 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
38
 Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
38
Goals
Scored
20
Avg. per game
0.53
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored
16
Avg. per game
0.42
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
16 (42%)22 (58%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
12 (32%)26 (68%)
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

Recent matches

Dire Dawa

Dire Dawa

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)26 12(32%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(16%)6 32(84%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

/Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(39%)15 23(61%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
Shots
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
Total shots
7.38 avg / game
Blocked
2 total
Avg. 1.00
Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
Total shots
6.69 avg / game
Blocked
2 total
Avg. 2.00
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi Pass Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
56%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
3671
Avg. 96.61 / game
 Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
3833
Avg. 100.87 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
2498
Avg. 65.74 / game
 Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
2197
Avg. 57.82 / game
OTHERS
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
38
Played games
Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.45
17
Clean sheets
12
0.32
3.29
125
Corners
165
4.34
2.84
108
Throw-ins
97
2.55
1.87
71
Offsides
63
1.66
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
DISCIPLINARY
Dire Dawa
Dire Dawa
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.47
94
Yellow card
70
1.84
0.08
3
Red card
6
0.16
9.00
342
Fouls
213
5.61
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Negelle Arsi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Dire Dawa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Negelle Arsi and Dire Dawa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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