Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 October

Negelle Arsi

D D W D W

2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League

1-1

18/10/2025 09:00

Arba Minch

L W W L L

20th place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch on 18 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch preview before placing your bet.

Negelle Arsi are currently 2nd with 60 points after 38 matches.
Arba Minch sit 20th with 35 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 32%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-10-18

Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch - Prediction & Odds

Negelle Arsi

Arba Minch

2025-10-18 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Negelle Arsi Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 07:20

Negelle Arsi 3 - 1 Sheger Ketema Ethiopia HL

18/04/2025 04:20

Siltie Worabe 0 - 3 Negelle Arsi Ethiopia HL

13/04/2025 09:10

Negelle Arsi 4 - 1 Halaba City Ethiopia HL

07/04/2025 08:20

Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Nib FC Ethiopia HL

01/04/2025 04:00

Yeka Sub City FC 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi Ethiopia HL

23/03/2025 09:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Dessie Ketema Ethiopia HL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Arba Minch

23/06/2025 11:00

Hadiya Hossana 0 - 1 Arba Minch ETH PR

16/06/2025 02:30

Sidama Bunna 0 - 0 Arba Minch ETH PR

08/06/2025 08:00

Arba Minch 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis ETH PR

02/06/2025 11:00

Arba Minch 1 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna ETH PR

28/05/2025 11:00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC 0 - 2 Arba Minch ETH PR

23/05/2025 08:00

Welwalo Adigrat 1 - 1 Arba Minch ETH PR

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Played games

Negelle Arsi

Arba Minch

128

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored

124

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

137

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 65 matches

YesNo

47 (72%)18 (28%)

In last 65 matches

NoYes

76 (59%)52 (41%)

Negelle Arsi

Recent matches

Arba Minch

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Negelle Arsi

Arba Minch

Shots

Negelle Arsi

Total shots

9.16 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Arba Minch

Total shots

9.18 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Negelle Arsi Pass Arba Minch

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Negelle Arsi

Played games

Arba Minch

128

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.32

3.62

235

Corners

433

3.38

1.66

108

Throw-ins

0.72

1.15

Offsides

0.62

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Negelle Arsi

DISCIPLINARY

Arba Minch

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.55

166

262

2.05

0.08

0.11

5.52

359

Fouls

342

2.67

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch on 18 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Negelle Arsi vs Arba Minch Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Negelle Arsi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arba Minch's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Negelle Arsi and Arba Minch sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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