Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 October

Neftchi Fargona

D L L W W

5th place in Uzbek League

1 - 1

22/10/2023 08:00

Termez Surkhon

D L W W L

6th place in Uzbek League

Uzbek League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon on 22 October 2023 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon preview before placing your bet.

Neftchi Fargona are currently 5th with 45 points after 26 matches.
Termez Surkhon sit 6th with 40 points from 26 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Neftchi Fargona, who have won 1 of the last 3 meetings. Termez Surkhon have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 22/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pakhtakor	53	26	16	5	5	41	25	16
02 Nasaf Qarshi	48	26	13	9	4	31	16	15
03 Navbahor Namangan	47	26	14	5	7	44	19	25
04 OTMK Olmaliq	46	26	13	7	6	43	34	9
05 Neftchi Fargona	45	26	11	12	3	33	18	15
06 Termez Surkhon	40	26	11	7	8	28	24	4
07 FK Andijon	40	26	12	4	10	27	25	2
08 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor	37	26	10	7	9	30	33	-3
09 Olympic FK Tashkent	31	26	8	7	11	26	32	-6
10 Metallurg Bekobod	30	26	8	6	12	26	35	-9
11 Sogdiana Jizak	27	26	7	6	13	29	38	-9
12 Qizilqum Zarafshon	25	26	6	7	13	22	33	-11
13 Turon Nukus	16	26	3	7	16	16	41	-25
14 Buxoro FK	15	26	4	3	19	12	35	-23

Head To Head

07/05/2023 10:00

Termez Surkhon

2 - 2

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

12/11/2022 08:00

Neftchi Fargona

3 - 0

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

29/06/2022 10:00

Termez Surkhon

1 - 1

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

Neftchi Fargona

33%

Draw

67%

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona Last 6 matches

07/10/2023 09:30

Nasaf Qarshi 2 - 0 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

27/09/2023 10:00

Neftchi Fargona 3 - 0 Buxoro FK UZB D1

31/08/2023 10:00

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 0 FK Andijon UZB D1

26/08/2023 09:30

OTMK Olmaliq 1 - 1 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

11/08/2023 11:00

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 0 Sogdiana Jizak UZB D1

05/08/2023 11:00

Pakhtakor 0 - 1 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Termez Surkhon

29/09/2023 10:00

Kuruvchi Bunyodkor 0 - 1 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

22/09/2023 09:30

Termez Surkhon 1 - 2 Qizilqum Zarafshon UZB D1

03/09/2023 09:00

Navbahor Namangan 2 - 0 Termez Surkhon UzbC

29/08/2023 09:30

Termez Surkhon 1 - 2 Nasaf Qarshi UZB D1

20/08/2023 11:00

Buxoro FK 1 - 1 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

16/08/2023 10:00

Kuruvchi Bunyodkor 2 - 2 Termez Surkhon UzbC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbek League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Neftchi Fargona

Termez Surkhon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

14 (54%)12 (46%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

18 (69%)8 (31%)

Neftchi Fargona

Recent matches

Termez Surkhon

Under /Over

(65%)17 9(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(54%)14 12(46%)

Under /Over

(31%)8 18(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(19%)5 21(81%)

Under /Over

(27%)7 19(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(46%)12 14(54%)

/Yes

(42%)11 15(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(46%)12 14(54%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Neftchi Fargona

Termez Surkhon

Shots

Neftchi Fargona

Total shots

8.88 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Termez Surkhon

Total shots

6.04 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Neftchi Fargona Pass Termez Surkhon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Neftchi Fargona

Played games

Termez Surkhon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.50

Clean sheets

0.46

4.54

118

Corners

3.54

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Neftchi Fargona

DISCIPLINARY

Termez Surkhon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

1.69

0.15

0.19

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon

How We Build the Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon on 22 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbek League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Neftchi Fargona's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Termez Surkhon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbek League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbek League standings and the Uzbek League form table to understand exactly where Neftchi Fargona and Termez Surkhon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbek League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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